Why Auston Matthews is running away with Richard race, eyeing 50 goals

Why Auston Matthews is running away with Richard race, eyeing 50 goals
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Auston Matthews was already the clear Maurice Richard Trophy frontrunner heading into Thursday. Really, people like Joe Thornton have been thinking bigger, throwing around Hart and Selke consideration, too. After putting up two goals (and four points) against an overmatched Senators opponent, Auston Matthews is only inspiring even bolder thoughts.

He’s also forcing people to dig really deep for things to complain about. As much as he’s scoring goals, Matthews has only managed two hat tricks during his career.

Yep, that’s about it. Unless you don’t really like his mustache.

Following another impressive outing against the Senators, Auston Matthews now has a staggering 16 goals in 17 games (and 25 points). His near-goal-per-game pace has people wondering if Matthews could somehow score 50 goals in a season where he may only get to play in 56 regular-season games.

For all of the attention the Maple Leafs’ collapse vs. the Senators received, they’re red-hot, and so is Matthews. Let’s dig into why Matthews is scoring goals at such a ridiculous pace. In doing so, maybe we’ll get a better idea about his chances at hitting 50 in this shortened season, among other possibilities.

Why Auston Matthews is on such a goal-scoring pace

He’s on fire shooting-wise, even by his standards

After 17 games, Auston Matthews scored 16 goals on 71 shots on goal. That translates to about a 22.5 shooting percentage.

As elite as Matthews’ shot truly is, it’s unlikely that he’ll maintain this sort of puck luck. Through his previous four seasons, Matthews’ highest shooting percentage was 18.2 in 2017-18. Heading into Thursday, his career shooting percentage was 16.2.

When you’re scoring like Matthews has been, any drop-off could be fairly significant — at least in terms of somehow scoring 50 goals in 56-or-so-games.

Big minutes, and most with Marner

Matthews goal scoring 50 Marner hug
(Photo by Kevin Sousa/NHLI via Getty Images)

For years, it was maddening to see Auston Matthews a) not log massive minutes and b) not line up with Marner as much as most of us wanted. There’s a K.I.S.S.* element to a Marner – Matthews partnership: why not pair one of the sport’s most brilliant playmakers with one of the NHL’s deadliest snipers?

Well, the Maple Leafs got the memo this season.

Via Natural Stat Trick, Matthews and Marner lined up together in all but about 42 minutes at even-strength through 16 games. With Joe Thornton now healthy, Matthews could very well line up with two gifted passers most nights (and shifts).

And, again, as important as it is to get Matthews the puck, it’s just as important to get him on the ice. Heading into Thursday’s game, Auston Matthews was averaging 22:09 TOI per game. (The blowout nature of Toronto’s 7-3 win over Ottawa likely explains a more modest 16:49 for Matthews on Thursday.)

Matthews’ minutes have been trending upward for quite some time under Sheldon Keefe. Once the calendar hit 2020, Matthews averaged at least 21:37 TOI each month to close out last season.

Hockey fans, not just Maple Leafs fans, have been clamoring for more Matthews minutes, and for those minutes to come with Marner, for quite some time. While streaks and injuries might cause some disruptions, it’s tough to imagine Keefe going away from those larger trends all that often.

(Granted, there might be some strategic logic to making sure Matthews is reasonably rested for whatever the playoff push might look like.)

* – Keep it Simple, Stupid, of course. (Not calling you stupid, kind reader, also of course.)

Feasting on the North

To put things mildly, Auston Matthews has made the most of his reps against the Ottawa Senators. Even in that embarrassing collapse from a 5-1 lead, Matthews scored two goals and one assist.

After Thursday, Matthews scored six goals and four assists for 10 points in five games against the Senators alone this season. This performance also pushed him close to a goal per game (19 in 20) against Ottawa in his career.

It remains to be seen if the Maple Leafs (13-3-2, first place in All-Canadian North Division with 28 points) can maintain their course toward a division title.

Either way, though, it seems like Matthews, Marner, Connor McDavid, and other top North forwards should be in a position for big nights. On paper, just about every Canadian NHL team can be wobbly on defense.

While the Maple Leafs’ own defensive struggles can sometimes be exaggerated, it’s fair to say that they give up their fair share of chances.

So, the stage is set for Matthews to have room to score, and maybe motivation to outscore the occasional night full of defensive lapses.

Now, do all of these factors combine to make an unlikely 50-goal season probable for Auston Matthews? That’s still asking a lot, but he’s in a prime position to win the Maurice Richard Trophy, and maybe make a strong claim for more individual hardware in 2020-21.

James O’Brien is a writer for Pro Hockey Talk on NBC Sports. Drop him a line at phtblog@nbcsports.com or follow him on Twitter @cyclelikesedins.

Rangers sign Filip Chytil to 4-year extension

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NEW YORK — The New York Rangers have signed forward Filip Chytil to a four-year contract extension worth $17.75 million, locking up another member of their core long term.

The team announced the deal Wednesday night. Chytil will count just under $4.44 million annually against the salary cap through the 2026-27 season.

Chytil, 23, is in the midst of a career year. He has set career highs with 22 goals, 20 assists and 42 points in 66 games for the playoff-bound Rangers.

The Czech native is the team’s sixth-leading scorer and ranks fourth on the roster in goals. The 2017 first-round pick has 144 points in 342 NHL regular-season and playoff games. He was set to be a restricted free agent with arbitration rights this summer.

New York already had top center Mika Zibanejad signed through 2030, No. 1 defenseman Adam Fox through 2029, veteran Chris Kreider through 2027, winger Artemi Panarin through 2026 and reigning Vezina Trophy-winning goaltender Igor Shesterkin through 2025.

General manager Chris Drury’s next order of business is an extension for 2020 top pick Alexis Lafrenière, who is only signed through the remainder of this season and can be a restricted free agent.

Blackhawks’ Jonathan Toews returns to ice, hints at retirement

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CHICAGO — Longtime Chicago Blackhawks captain Jonathan Toews returned to the ice but hinted his stellar NHL career could be winding down after 15 years.

Toews, 34, skated with teammates prior to Chicago’s game with the Dallas Stars. It was his first time practicing with them since a game in Edmonton on Jan. 28.

He made a statement through the team on Feb. 19 saying he would be stepping away because of the effects of Chronic Immune Response Syndrome and “long COVID.”

In meeting with reporters, Toews stopped short of saying he hoped to play in any of last-place Chicago’s nine remaining games. His eight-year, $84 million contract is set to expire at the end of the season.

Toews said he’s feeling stronger, but isn’t sure if he’ll be able to play again for the Blackhawks or another team.

“Both if I’m being fully honest,” Toews said. “I feel like I’ve said it already, that I’ve gotten to the point where my health is more important.

“When you’re young and you’re playing for a Stanley Cup and everyone’s playing through something, that means something and it’s worthwhile. But I’m at that point where it feels like more damage is being done than is a good thing.”

Toews, the Blackhawks’ first-round draft pick (third overall) in 2006, joined the team in 2007 and was a pillar of Stanley Cup championship clubs in 2010, 2013 and 2015.

At the peak of his career, he was one of the NHL’s top two-way centers, winning the Selke Trophy as the league’s top defensive forward in 2013.

In 1,060 regular-season games, Toews has 371 goals and 509 assists. In 139 playoff games, he’s posted 45 goals and 74 assists, and he won the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP in 2010.

Toews missed the entire 2020-21 season with Chronic Immune Response System, which caused debilitating inflammation and fatigue.

He appeared in 71 games in 2021-22, then started this season with renewed energy before slowing and eventually shutting himself down.

Entering this season, it looked as if Chicago might deal him, as it did fellow star Patrick Kane, before the March trade deadline. But Kane went to the New York Rangers and Toews to injured reserve.

Toews believed he was progressing before a relapse in January left him so sore and tired that he could barely “put on my skates or roll out of bed to come to the rink.”

Toews said his progress over the past month has been “pretty encouraging” and he’s delighted to be back among his teammates. He has no timetable beyond that.

“We’re just going to go day by day here,” Chicago coach Luke Richardson said. He deserves anything he wants to try to achieve here.”

Richardson hoped Toews “can take that next step later in the week and hopefully (he) gives us the green light to go in a game.”

But Toews emphasized his long-term health and ability to lead a “normal life” is most important. He wants to go out on a positive note and not hit the ice for a game playing through excessive pain and dysfunction.

“It’s definitely on my mind that this could be my last few weeks here as a Blackhawk in Chicago,” Toews said. “It’s definitely very important for me to go out there and enjoy the game and just kind of soak it in and just really appreciate everything I’ve been able to be part of here in Chicago.”

Budding Wild star Matt Boldy more willing to shoot, and it shows

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ST. PAUL, Minn. — Matt Boldy was unable to resist a smile in the aftermath of his second hat trick in five games for the Minnesota Wild, a young right wing and reluctant star trying to make sense of a remarkable hot streak.

Does the puck feel as if it’s automatically going in the net these days each time he shoots?

“Yeah, it does,” Boldy said in the locker room after leading the first-place Wild to a 5-1 win over Seattle. “My linemates are playing great. Hopefully you guys are giving them a lot of credit. You look at some of those goals – just putting it on a tee for me.”

This non-attention-seeker has found himself squarely in the NHL spotlight. Boldy has 11 goals in nine games since Wild superstar Kirill Kaprizov was sidelined with a lower-body injury to raise his goal total to 28, in part because he’s been more willing to shoot. With vision and stickhandling as strengths and the humility of being a second-year player, it’s easy to be in a pass-first mindset.

“Everybody kind of took turns talking to him. But it’s not that he didn’t want to. A lot of times a situation like that where a guy’s got that skillset, it’s a real unselfish quality, right?” coach Dean Evason said. “But I think he gets now that he helps the team a lot when he scores goals.”

The Wild were confident enough in Boldy’s scoring ability to commit a seven-year, $49 million contract extension to him earlier this winter, after all.

“I think I’ve always had that mentality, but sometimes you just get into spots and it comes off your stick good,” Boldy said. “When things are going well, the puck goes in the net.”’

The Wild are 6-1-2 without Kaprizov. Boldy is a big reason why.

“You go through the slumps, you learn what you need to do to score. I think he’s found a good way to be in the right spot and shoot the puck when he had a good opportunity,” center Joel Eriksson Ek said.

The Wild have only won one division title in 22 years, the five-team Northwest Division in 2007-08. They’re leading the eight-team Central Division with eight games to go, with both Colorado and Dallas too close for comfort. They haven’t won a playoff series since 2015.

With Kaprizov due back before the postseason and Boldy on this heater, a Wild team that ranks just 23rd in the league in goals per game (2.93) ought to have a better chance to advance. Eriksson Ek and Marcus Johansson have been ideal linemates for the Boston College product and Massachusetts native.

Since the Wild entered the league in the 2000-01 season, only five NHL players have had more hat tricks at age 21 or younger than Boldy with three: Patrik Laine (eight), Marian Gaborik (five), Steven Stamkos (five), Alex DeBrincat (four) and Connor McDavid (four). Boldy turns 22 next week, so there’s still time for one or two more.

“He’s big. He controls the puck a lot. He’s got a good shot, good release. He’s smart. He switches it up. He’s got good moves on breakaways. He’s a total player,” goalie Marc-Andre Fleury said. ”Fun to watch him grow this year.”

Pezzetta scores shootout winner; Canadiens beat Sabres 4-3

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BUFFALO, N.Y. ⁠— Brendan Gallagher and the Montreal Canadiens rallied back to avoid playoff elimination with less than three weeks left in their season. The Buffalo Sabres, meanwhile, are running out of chances to stay in the Eastern Conference wild-card hunt.

Gallagher forced overtime by scoring his 200th career goal, and Michael Pezzetta scored the decisive shootout goal in a 4-3 win over the Sabres on Monday night.

“It’s one of those things I think we earned that chance. We weren’t fantastic but we did enough on the road tonight to get a win,” Gallagher said. “Smiles all around.”

The Canadiens could laugh, especially after Pezzetta celebrated his goal by putting his stick between his legs and riding it like a wooden horse — much like former NHL tough guy Dave “Tiger” Williams did during his 14-year NHL career spanning the 1970s and 80s.

“I’m not sure we’ll see that again. One of a kind,” said Gallagher. “I’d be worried about falling over.”

Pezzetta scored by driving in from the right circle to beat Eric Comrie inside the far post. Buffalo’s Jack Quinn scored in the fourth shootout round, but was matched by Montreal’s Jesse Ylonen, whose shot from in tight managed to trickle in through Comrie.

Jordan Harris and Alex Belzile also scored for Montreal, and Jake Allen stopped 30 shots through overtime, while allowing one goal on six shootout attempts.

Montreal would have been eliminated from playoff contention for a second straight season – and two years removed from reaching the Stanley Cup Final – with any type of loss.

The Sabres squandered a 3-2 third-period lead to drop to 3-6-3 in their past 12. Buffalo also blew a chance to move to within four points of idle Pittsburgh, which holds the eighth and final playoff spot.

“Just a little hesitation,” forward JJ Peterka said of the Sabres third-period lapse. “We didn’t play with much energy and we didn’t play that aggressive as we played the two periods before. I think that was the difference.”

Buffalo’s Lukas Rousek scored a goal and added an assist while filling in for leading scorer Tage Thompson, who did not play due to an upper body injury. Peterka and defenseman Riley Stillman also scored, and Comrie stopped 38 shots through overtime, and allowed two goals on six shootout attempts.

Montreal blew two one-goal leads to fall behind 3-2 on Stillman’s goal at the 8:31 mark of the second period.

Gallagher scored on the fly by using Sabres defenseman Rasmus Dahlin as a screen to snap in a shot inside the far left post. With the goal, Gallagher tied Bobby Rousseau for 24th on the Canadiens career scoring list.

“I liked the way we corrected ourselves, it’s a sign of maturity, in the way we stayed on task,” Canadiens coach Martin St. Louis said, in recalling how the Canadiens recently unraveled in an 8-4 loss two weeks ago to Colorado, which plays a similar up-tempo style as Buffalo.

PRIDE NIGHT

The Sabres hosted their third Pride Night, with Russian D Ilya Lyubushkin electing not to participate in warmups by citing an anti-gay Kremlin law and fears of retribution at home in Moscow, where he has family and visits in the offseason. The remainder of the team wore dark blue jerseys with the Sabres logo on the front encircled by a rainbow-colored outline.

During the first intermission, the Sabres broadcast a video in which GM Kevyn Adams said: “This is about recognizing someone’s humanity and true identity. We know there are people out there struggling with who they are, and we want them to know that they have an ally in the Buffalo Sabres.”

UP NEXT

Canadiens: At the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday night.

Sabres: Host the New York Rangers on Friday night.