Pandemic Punts: Arizona Coyotes look stuck to start 2020-21 NHL season

Pandemic Punts: Arizona Coyotes look stuck to start 2020-21 NHL season
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Different NHL teams come into the 2020-21 season with different expectations. Yet, with COVID-19 looming to throw a wrench in even the best-laid plans, PHT asks: what if each of the NHL’s 31 teams had to “punt” their 2020-21 season? Some situations are more realistic than others, but hopefully this serves as an interesting exercise. In the latest edition of Pandemic Punts, PHT looks at the 2020-21 Arizona Coyotes.

For previous editions of Pandemic Punts, click here.

Chayka leaves behind a mess for Armstrong, Coyotes

In leaving the Arizona Coyotes in a spectacularly messy fashion, former GM John Chayka might as well have handed new GM Bill Armstrong a live hand grenade. Armstrong inherited one of the toughest GM jobs in hockey, if not professional sports.

Most egregiously, the Coyotes blundered their way out of their 2020 second-rounder and 2021 first-round pick after violating the NHL’s Combine Testing Policy.

More understandably but still quite disastrously, the Coyotes also forked over their 2020 first-rounder (and a 2021 third-round pick) in the Taylor Hall trade. While the pandemic made the Taylor Hall rental an even shorter one than expected for the Arizona Coyotes, the bottom line is that it ended up being another mistake.

And when you look up and down that Coyotes roster, you’ll see plenty of Chayka mistakes.

It’s a mess, and the Bill Armstrong era began with a colossal blunder as the Coyotes drafted Mitchell Miller, only to renounce his rights. While it’s tricky to assign specific blame to that error — Armstrong wasn’t allowed to participate in the Coyotes’ 2020 NHL Draft — it’s an ugly mistake all the same.

Merely observe how overmatched the Coyotes were during the 2020 Stanley Cup Playoffs, and you’ll struggle to find much reason to believe that this team will contend in 2020-21. And that rendition of the Coyotes got clubbed with a Taylor Hall hoping to salvage his free agent value. Without him? Well, the Coyotes’ best chances of competing may boil down to hoping their goaltending bails them out enough to compete.

(Seriously. Even when they beat the Nashville Predators, they did so while depending almost entirely on a splendid Darcy Kuemper.)

Coyotes can really only tank/punt to a limited extent

So, the Coyotes already stumbled into an extremely limited 2020 NHL Draft showing.

Combine the remnants of the Taylor Hall trade (2021 third-rounder) and that rules violation blunder (2021 first-round pick), and the Coyotes can’t even soothe any 2020-21 failures with thoughts of the 2021 NHL Draft Lottery. Brutal.

Considering those circumstances, it’s easier to defender their inability to trade Oliver Ekman-Larsson. While it’s fair to wonder if OEL was worth all of that hype, the Coyotes might be better off seeing if he can regain some value. Again, stripping everything down makes less sense when the Coyotes won’t even get a first-rounder following 2020-21.

At least … the Coyotes won’t receive their first-rounder.

What about going back to the earlier Chayka days, and taking on other teams’ cap problems, for a price? Is there another Pavel Datsyuk or Chris Pronger contract to absorb?

Well, even that is tricky.

Among other holdovers from the Chayka era of errors, the Coyotes don’t really have much salary cap space. Maybe an LTIR move or two could relax things a bit, but Cap Friendly puts them around zero. Stunning.

Pandemic Punts: Arizona Coyotes look stuck to start 2020-21 NHL season Kuemper Raanta
(Photo by Dave Sandford/NHLI via Getty Images)

Punting on future possessions? Some Coyotes positivity

To strain that football analogy, the Coyotes are basically hoping they can pull a Donovan McNabb and convert on 4th-and-26.

Maybe hope can come in “future possessions,” then?

Move things down the line, and the Coyotes may see some daylight. If you’re Bill Armstrong, that’s what you’re preaching: let’s make the best of this bad situation, then unveil our vision later.

Consider:

  • Quite a lot of bad money and/or aging contracts dissolve soon.

Via Cap Friendly, the Sabres go from basically hitting the $81.5M cap ceiling in 2020-21 to a hair under $50M to 12 players for 2021-22. Commitments drop again to $30.3M to five players for 2022-23.

While it’s not all peaches and cream even in that regard — it can never be easy for these Coyotes — this still gives Bill Armstrong a pretty clean slate next offseason. Derek Stepan‘s $6.5M cap hit goes off the books. Even the icky Phil Kessel investment ($6.8M) only runs through 2022-23.

  • Maybe some leverage opens up, too?

Memorably, Oliver Ekman-Larsson seemingly only gave the Coyotes room to trade him to the Bruins or Canucks. That’s the power, and peril, of a no-movement clause.

But what if he broadens that group, possibly after a strong individual but weak team season in 2020-21?

With patience, some windows could open up for the Coyotes, including one if there’s a 2021 NHL Trade Deadline. The room just looks especially dark right now.

Some caveats, even with that optimism

Of course, some of those shorter contracts rank among the Coyotes’ best bargains.

Kuemper, 30, could command a huge raise from his $4.5M cap hit after it expires following the 2022-23 season. If Conor Garland proves his 2020-21 breakthrough shouldn’t have been surprising at all, he’ll receive an enormous raise from $775K.

When Kuemper got hurt, Antti Raanta (31, $4.25M cap hit) showed why the Coyotes targeted him in the first place. Unfortunately for the Coyotes, they may not enjoy the Kuemper – Raanta luxury for much longer, as Raanta’s entering a contract year.

(Note: for Chayka’s many mistakes, he had his moments. The Coyotes made some absolutely deft goalie moves, from identifying talent to giving them affordable contracts.)

With goaltending in particular, Armstrong may find himself in a pickle.

On one hand, Raanta – Kuemper gives this flawed Coyotes roster its best chance to survive, if not thrive, in 2020-21. On the other hand, the Coyotes could draw a lot of value out of moving one, or even both, of those goalies.

Simply put, modern NHL goalies don’t tend to sustain Kuemper’s quietly impressive pace. Since 2019 began, Kuemper managed a sparkling .931 save percentage in 66 regular-season games. That’s the highest save percentage of any goalie with at least 20 games played. (Stars studs Ben Bishop [.928] and Anton Khudobin [.927] battled for second. Fourteen goalies managed .920+ save percentages.)

Combine that run with fantastic playoff play, and Kuemper’s stock is soaring. If it made sense for the Coyotes to punt, then it would probably be wise to trade Kuemper ASAP. But without the incentive of adding futures and cynically pumping up their 2021 NHL Draft Lottery chances? It’s less appealing.

(You can still debate that it could be the best move. After all, would it be shocking if Raanta ended up outperforming Kuemper, anyway?)

Deciding the longer-term plan for goaltending ranks as just one of the riddles Bill Armstrong must solve.

Overall: punting is a complex question for the Coyotes

Few teams want to land in puck purgatory. That’s a way of saying “not bad enough to win the draft lottery; not good enough to compete for the Stanley Cup.”

Oddly, the Coyotes might be best served hovering around that playoff bubble, though.

If the Coyotes scrape together a competitive season, it maintains trade value for the likes of Kuemper, Raanta, and even OEL. If the Coyotes are a little too good, it could be a PR problem to sell high. Conversely, a dismal Coyotes team could really submarine those trade values. Somewhere in between? That could be the perfect temperature for that punting porridge.

It all seems … quite difficult, right? If we’re marveling at a strong Coyotes team down the line, then give Bill Armstrong a lot of credit. This doesn’t look easy.

James O’Brien is a writer for Pro Hockey Talk on NBC Sports. Drop him a line at phtblog@nbcsports.com or follow him on Twitter @cyclelikesedins.

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    Stars expect to open camp without unsigned scorer Jason Robertson

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    FRISCO, Texas — Young 40-goal scorer Jason Robertson is expected to miss the start of training camp for the Dallas Stars because the team and the restricted free agent haven’t agreed on a new contract.

    General manager Jim Nill said there’s been steady, ongoing negotiations over the last couple of weeks with Robertson and his representatives. Nill wouldn’t say what has kept the two sides from reaching a deal, adding there have been “very good discussions.”

    The Stars, with new coach Pete DeBoer, open camp Thursday in Cedar Park, Texas, at the home of their AHL team. They have three days of work there before returning to North Texas for their exhibition opener at home on Monday night. They open the regular season Oct. 13 at Nashville.

    “I think he’s disappointed he’s not at camp, we are too,” Nill said before the team departed for the Austin area. “I think it’s very important for a younger player and as you mentioned, the (new) coaching staff. … We do have some time on our side, but we wish he gets here as soon as he can.”

    Robertson had a base salary of $750,000 last season, the end of a $2.775 million, three-year contract. He still has five more years before he has the opportunity to become an unrestricted free agent.

    The left wing turned 23 soon after the end of last season, when he had 41 goals and 38 assists for 79 points in his 74 games. Robertson joined Hockey Hall of Famer Mike Modano, Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin as the only 40-goal scorers since the franchise moved to Dallas in 1993.

    A second-round draft pick by the Stars in 2017, Robertson has 125 points (58 goals, 67 assists) in his 128 NHL games. He had one goal and three assists in his first postseason action last season, when Dallas lost its first-round playoff series in seven games against Calgary.

    DeBoer said he looks forward to coaching Robertson, but that the forward’s absence won’t change his plans for camp.

    “It doesn’t impact what I’m doing,” DeBoer said. “Listen, I laid awake at night with the excitement of coaching Jason Robertson, 40-plus goals, but he’s not here. So, you know, until he gets here, I can’t spend any energy on that.”

    Nill said the Stars are open to a long-term extension or a bridge contract for Robertson, who was part of the team’s top line last season with veteran Joe Pavelski and Roope Hintz. They combined for 232 points, the second-most in franchise history for a trio.

    “We’re open to anything. But other than that … I’m not going to negotiate through the media,” Nill said. “As I said, we’ve had good conversations. We’ll see where it goes.”

    Training camps open around NHL after another short offseason

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    Training camps open around the NHL after another short offseason, a third in a row squeezed by the pandemic. That doesn’t bother Colorado Avalanche star Nathan MacKinnon one bit.

    For one of hockey’s best players and his teammates, it’s already time to get back on the ice and defend their Stanley Cup title, less than three months since they knocked off the back-to-back champion Tampa Bay Lightning.

    “I still feel like I just was playing,” MacKinnon said. “I took two weeks off, and then I started skating again. It’s just fun. I enjoy it, and I like the short summer. It feels like the season’s just kind of rolling over again.”

    The NHL rolls into fall coming off an entertaining playoffs and final with the chance to finally get back on a normal schedule. That means full camps for teams that got new coaches and the benefits of a regular routine.

    That means a mere 88 days between Game 6 of the final and the first-on ice practice sessions.

    “We’re kind of used to it now,” Tampa Bay goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy said after he and the Lightning lost in the final for the first time in three consecutive trips. “It’s a little harder, of course, because you don’t have that much time to rest. It’s basically a few weeks and you have to get back at it. But, yeah, I can’t complain. You want your summers to be short every year.”

    It was a little longer for Connor McDavid and the Oilers after losing to Colorado in the West final. Despite the lack of downtime, McDavid “wouldn’t trade that in for anything” and aims to make it even further since Edmonton shored up its goaltending situation by adding Jack Campbell.

    A few spins of the goalie carousel ended with the Avalanche acquiring Alexandar Georgiev from the New York Rangers and Cup winner Darcy Kuemper landing with Washington. Joining new teammates, many of whom hoisted the Cup in 2018, Kuemper is not worried about less time off.

    “It was definitely a very unique summer,” Kuemper said. “With how short it was, you start getting back into the gym and you’re kind of a little bit worried that your training’s going to be so short. But you kind of felt like you weren’t getting back into shape. You were already there.”

    NEW COACHES

    The Oilers are one of several teams settling in for training camp under a new coach. Jay Woodcroft took over as interim coach in February but has the full-time job now.

    “Looking forward to a camp with him,” McDavid said. “He did a great job coming in during the middle of the season, but it’s never easy on a coach, for sure. I’m sure there’s things that he wanted to touch on that you wasn’t able to kind of in the middle of the year, so he’ll be able to to touch on all of it this year.”

    The same goes for Bruce Boudreau in Vancouver, 11 months since being put in charge of the Canucks. Philadelphia’s John Tortorella, Boston’s Jim Montgomery, Vegas’ Bruce Cassidy, Dallas’ Peter DeBoer, Florida’s Paul Maurice, Chicago’s Luke Richardson, Detroit’s Derek Lalonde and the New York Islanders’ Lane Lambert are all starting the job fresh.

    CAMP TRYOUTS

    Roughly 40 players are attending a camp on a professional tryout agreement with the chance to earn a contract for the season. James Neal has that opportunity with the Blue Jackets, and Derek Stepan returned to Carolina to seek a job with the Hurricanes.

    The most intriguing situation involves 37-year-old center Eric Staal, who agreed to the tryout with Florida the same time brother Marc signed a one-year contract. Younger brother Jordan was with Eric and Marc on the 18th green at Pebble Beach to witness the occasion.

    “They’re both just super pumped, as was I,” said Jordan Staal, who is the captain of the Hurricanes. “Eric is excited about the opportunity and Marc, as well. Really cool. Really cool thing.”

    EARLY START

    Before the puck drops on the NHL season in North America on Oct. 11, the Nashville Predators and San Jose Sharks play twice in Prague on Oct. 7 and 8. And those are not exhibitions.

    “We still play two important games,” said Sharks forward Tomas Hertl, who is a native of Prague. “It’s not just preseason where you coming here to warm up.”

    Colorado and Columbus will also play two games in Tampere, Finland, on Nov. 4-5 as part of the NHL’s Global Series.

    And just as the league gets used to a regular schedule, work is ongoing between the league and NHL Players’ Association to stage a World Cup of Hockey in February 2024, which is popular among players even if it knocks the calendar off kilter again.

    “I think they missed out on a huge, huge portion of the international game that’s really going to be missed,” McDavid said. “We need to figure out a way to get an international tournament in as quickly as possible.”

    Matthew Tkachuk, Panthers ready for 1st training camp together

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    CORAL SPRINGS, Fla. — Aleksander Barkov was sound asleep at his home in Finland when the trade that brought Matthew Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers was finalized, which isn’t surprising considering it was around 4 a.m. in that part of the world.

    He woke up and read texts from friends reacting to the deal.

    And it wasn’t too long before he got a message from Tkachuk.

    “The first message was `(expletive) right’ and how he was excited to come to Florida,” Barkov, the Panthers’ captain, said at Florida’s media day. “`Let’s take this next step, let’s be a winning team for many years to come.’ That’s who he is. He wants to win. He wants to bring that character to this organization. And I think he’s done some damage already.”

    With that, Barkov was sold.

    And after a few weeks of informally skating with one another, the Panthers start the process of officially seeing what they have in Tkachuk when the team’s training camp – the first under new coach Paul Maurice – opens.

    “We’ve basically had everybody here for a few weeks,” Tkachuk said. “I feel like I’ve been in training camp for a couple of weeks. So today doesn’t feel that new to me. I’ve gotten to know everybody … so let’s get these games going. I’m sick and tired of just practicing and working. I want to start playing some games. I think everybody feels the same way.”

    Maurice was hired over the summer as well, inheriting a team that won the Presidents’ Trophy last season and went to the second round of the playoffs — the first series win for Florida since the run to the Stanley Cup Final in 1996.

    He’s as eager as the players are for the first formal practice, calling it “our first Christmas.”

    “The house is bought. Most of the boxes are unpacked,” Maurice said. “I’ve got two kids that kind of came with me; one’s in Coral Gables, one’s in Estero. Their places are unpacked. They’re out of our house. Once you get down here, for me, you spend most of your days at the rink. So, experiencing all of South Florida, we haven’t gotten to that yet.”

    As part of the deal that went down on July 22, the 24-year-old Tkachuk signed a eight-year, $76 million contract. That’s not the only big cost that the Panthers had to agree to while executing the trade; they also sent Jonathan Huberdeau, the franchise’s all-time scoring leader, and defenseman MacKenzie Weegar to the Calgary Flames in exchange for a left wing who had career bests of 42 goals, 62 assists and 104 points last season.

    “I wish all the best to Huby and Weegs,” Barkov said. “They’re great. Everyone loved them. Only good things to say about them. It happens, and for sure, it was best for the team and organization to do this. We move on, and we’ll get ready for a new season.”

    BOBROVSKY’S SUMMER

    Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is Russian, still makes his home in St. Petersburg, and went there for the bulk of his offseason.

    He said it was not logistically difficult to travel there (or return to the U.S.) this summer, even as the war that started when Russia invaded Ukraine continues. Bobrovsky said last season that he was not trying to focus on anything but hockey, and when asked if it was difficult to be back in Russia as war continues he kept the same approach.

    “I had a good summer,” Bobrovsky said. “I saw friends, I saw family. It’s all been fine. I don’t want to talk about what’s going on. I’m not involved in that stuff.”

    CAMP ROSTER

    Florida is opening camp with 56 players – 31 forwards, 19 defensemen and six goalies. That group includes brothers Eric Staal and Marc Staal; Marc Staal signed as a free agent in July; Eric Staal is with Florida on a tryout contract.

    Coyotes sign Barrett Hayton right before training camp

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    SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. — The Arizona Coyotes signed forward Barrett Hayton to a two-year contract right before the start of training camp.

    Terms of the deal were not released.

    The 22-year-old Hayton was a restricted free agent and not initially listed on Arizona’s roster for camp.

    Hayton had 10 goals and 14 assists in 60 games with the Coyotes last season, all career highs.

    Arizona drafted the Peterborough, Ontario native with the fifth overall pick of the 2018 NHL draft. He has 13 goals and 18 assists in 94 career games with the Coyotes.