Tag: odds

Alex Ovechkin

Capitals get a point in loss to Flyers, prepare for huge homestand


One could say that the Washington Capitals started holding their breath from the moment Alex Ovechkin gave them a 1-0 lead just 26 seconds into tonight’s game against the Philadelphia Flyers. The Capitals managed to hang on through next three periods and overtime, only allowing Claude Giroux’s game-tying goal before ultimately succumbing to Philly in the shootout.

Either way, the Capitals can now exhale after a challenging road trip. Really, Washington’s five-game road trip (2-2-1) might be a good barometer of whether or not a given Caps fan is a glass-half-full type, too.

The good news

On the bright side, the Capitals bounced back from a tough loss to the Jets in Winnipeg to salvage what looked like a four-game losing streak waiting to happen. Sure, they lost a rough game against the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2, but then they beat the Red Wings in Detroit and squeezed a charity point out of tonight’s game against red-hot Ilya Bryzgalov and the always-tough Philadelphia Flyers.

Oh yeah, Ovechkin’s 33rd goal already eclipses his tally total from last season, so that’s a plus, too.

Negative side

Of course, there’s also the missed opportunities. Losing to the Jets will burn if they can’t win their last meeting against Winnipeg and negative types might question Washington’s “killer instinct.” Did they settle for overtime instead of trying to go for the jugular in regulation?

To some, it’ll be hard to shake the feeling that the Capitals are content to “back in” to the playoffs – if that works, that is.

What lies ahead

By getting through that gauntlet with their playoff status currently intact, they’re in line to put themselves in a comfortable position – but they’ll need to win some big games.

That starts tomorrow, as the Capitals face the Jets in Washington. From there they need to kick the Minnesota when they’re down and then beat another bubble contender in the Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday to wrap-up a huge three-game homestand.

After that, they’ll travel to Boston to face the Bruins, host the Montreal Canadiens, face the Lightning in Tampa Bay, play a home game against the Florida Panthers and then finish the season against the Rangers at Madison Square Garden.

The odds

Sports Club Stats indicates that the Capitals took a baby step toward the playoffs with this win. Their playoff odds jumped 1.9 percent to 74.8 while Buffalo is down 1.1 percent to 22.9 and Winnipeg slips .3 percent to just 9.2.

Naturally, those upcoming games between both teams could drastically change the picture. The big plus side for the Capitals is that those matches will take place in Washington, but they’re still going to need to come up big with the spotlight shining on them more than any regular season contests in recent memory.

Preseason Odds: Who do you think will win each division?

Boston Bruins Victory Parade

‘Tis the season for prognostication. With a steady flow of previews flowing around the internet, everyone is trying to figure out what we can expect from the upcoming NHL season. Some are trying to figure out where their favorite team will finish? Some want bragging rights with friends and others want to know if they should start saving for playoff tickets.

Then there are the people that want to get paid. In what has almost become an annual tradition, gambling sites are starting to release their NHL odds for the upcoming season. We’ve already seen that Bodog.com has tabbed the Vancouver Canucks and Washington Capitals as the favorites for each conference.

Today, we break down each division (Note: All add courtesy of Bodog)

Despite all of the changes in Philadelphia, the Flyers are still the favorite to win the Atlantic Division. Somewhat surprisingly, there’s more faith in the Devils (and their second-half run) than the New York Rangers.

Odds to win the 2012 Atlantic Division
Philadelphia Flyers: 6/5
Pittsburgh Penguins: 13/10
New Jersey Devils: 15/2
New York Rangers: 9/1
New York Islanders: 25/1

In the Northeast Division, the defending Stanley Cup champions are favored to repeat as Northeast Division champs. They also seem to like the Sabres with all of the moves they’ve made in the offseason to strengthen the team—obviously they were big fans of the Ales Kotalik waiver.

Odds to win the 2012 Northeast Division
Boston Bruins: 5/4
Buffalo Sabres: 3/2
Montreal Canadiens: 5/1
Toronto Maple Leafs: 12/1
Ottawa Senators: 20/1

The Tampa Bay Lightning took the next step last season when they were within 60 minutes and a single goal from the Stanley Cup final. Unfortunately, for fans in Tampa, that doesn’t mean much as the Washington Capitals are still the prohibitive favorites. On the other end of the spectrum, the odds makers managed to remember that the Winnipeg Jets are still just the Atlanta Thrashers in new jerseys.

Odds to win the 2012 Southeast Division
Washington Capitals: 2/5
Tampa Bay Lightning: 9/4
Carolina Hurricanes: 15/1
Winnipeg Jets: 30/1
Florida Panthers: 30/1

It’s no surprise that the Detroit Red Wings and Chicago Blackhawks are expected to be good next season. But for people following the offseason hype machine, it might come as a little bit of a surprise that the Columbus Blue Jackets are tied as the longest of long shots to win their own division. Do you think it’s because people aren’t used to believing in the Blue Jackets or did they make the wrong moves this offseason?

Odds to win the 2012 Central Division
Detroit Red Wings: 10/11
Chicago Blackhawks: 11/5
Nashville Predators: 15/4
St Louis Blues: 16/1
Columbus Blue Jackets: 30/1

The Vancouver Canucks are the favorite to win the Northwest Division? The only thing shocking here is that the they are only 1/8 favorites! It would be interesting to see what the odds would be for a team to come within 10 points of the Canucks this season.

Odds to win the 2012 Northwest Division
Vancouver Canucks: 1/8
Calgary Flames: 13/2
Edmonton Oilers: 20/1
Minnesota Wild: 25/1
Colorado Avalanche: 25/1

It’s a two-horse race in the Pacific between the Kings and Sharks. Apparently, the odds makers have their doubts about the Sharks being able to improve upon their back-to-back Western Conference final appearances. And once again, no one believes in the Coyotes.

Odds to win the 2012 Pacific Division
Los Angeles Kings: 3/2
San Jose Sharks: 8/5
Anaheim Ducks: 6/1
Phoenix Coyotes: 15/2
Dallas Stars: 17/2

What do you think of these odds? Are there any long-shots stick out to you as teams who could make a run at their divisional crown? Are there any favorites who are getting more love than they should? As always, we’d love to hear what you think in the comments.

Bodog picks Canucks to face Capitals in 2012 Stanley Cup finals

Stanley Cup Fans

With the 2011-12 season rapidly approaching, the hockey world approaches what is delightful to some and stomach-churning to others: season previews time. After a summer full of changes, pundits and hockey fans alike will attempt to forecast the future so that they can prove their brilliance (or ability to make lucky guesses, depending upon who you ask).

Bragging rights are great and all, but some hope to parlay their crystal ball skills into some cash. That’s where gambling venues/Web sites come in, but for the rest of us, gambling odds can provide an interesting take on public opinion.

They can tell us all sorts of things. Which teams are the obvious favorites? Are there some clubs who might be dark horse candidates? Perhaps most amusingly, which clubs do people have virtually zero confidence in?

Bodog is one of the leading sites for such speculation, so here’s a look at their odds for the 2011-12 champions – along with the expected conference winners. (This backs up Bodog’s early odds following the 2011 Stanley Cup finals in mid-June, while factoring in off-season moves. Thanks to Neil Greenberg for pointing out a correction.)

Let’s start with the coin toss for the Stanley Cup winner first.

Odds to win the 2012 Stanley Cup

Vancouver Canucks                   7/1
Washington Capitals                  7/1
Boston Bruins                            10/1
Pittsburgh Penguins                   10/1
Philadelphia Flyers                     11/1
San Jose Sharks                       11/1
Chicago Blackhawks                  12/1
Detroit Red Wings                      12/1
Los Angeles Kings                     14/1
Tampa Bay Lightning                  16/1
Buffalo Sabres                           18/1
Anaheim Ducks                         25/1
Montreal Canadiens                   25/1
Nashville Predators                    28/1
New Jersey Devils                      30/1
New York Rangers                     30/1
Phoenix Coyotes                       35/1
St. Louis Blues                          35/1
Calgary Flames                         40/1
Dallas Stars                              40/1
Carolina Hurricanes                    45/1
Toronto Maple Leafs                   50/1
Winnipeg Jets                            60/1
Colorado Avalanche                    65/1
Edmonton Oilers                        65/1
Ottawa Senators                        70/1
Columbus Blue Jackets              75/1
Florida Panthers                        75/1
Minnesota Wild                          75/1
New York Islanders                    80/1

It’s interesting to see the Islanders in last place, but maybe that’s just a summer’s worth of optimism about that team talking. The Red Wings, Rangers and Devils are interesting choices for teams that are slightly underrated, while some might upset that the defending champion Boston Bruins came in third place.

Moving on, here are the odds-on winners for the Western Conference.

Odds to win the 2012 NHL Western Conference

Vancouver Canucks                   3/1
Detroit Red Wings                      11/2
San Jose Sharks                       11/2
Los Angeles Kings                     6/1
Chicago Blackhawks                  13/2
Anaheim Ducks                         12/1
Nashville Predators                    14/1
Phoenix Coyotes                       18/1
Calgary Flames                         20/1
Dallas Stars                              20/1
St. Louis Blues                          20/1
Colorado Avalanche                    35/1
Columbus Blue Jackets              35/1
Edmonton Oilers                        35/1
Minnesota Wild                          35/1

The Avalanche and Wild seem like they have a better chance to win the conference than the Blue Jackets and Oilers, in my opinion. It’s interesting to see that the Kings are doing pretty well in both areas – does this mean that gamblers aren’t worried about Drew Doughty’s contract situation?

Finally, here are the East odds.

Odds to win the 2012 NHL Eastern Conference

Washington Capitals                  4/1
Pittsburgh Penguins                   9/2
Philadelphia Flyers                     5/1
Boston Bruins                            11/2
Tampa Bay Lightning                  8/1
Buffalo Sabres                           10/1
Montreal Canadiens                   14/1
New Jersey Devils                      15/1
New York Rangers                     16/1
Carolina Hurricanes                    24/1
Toronto Maple Leafs                   28/1
Winnipeg Jets                            35/1
Florida Panthers                        40/1
Ottawa Senators                        40/1
New York Islanders                    45/1

Strangely enough, the Bruins are ranked lower in the East odds (fourth) than they are to win the Stanley Cup (tied for third). The Panthers’ off-season moves haven’t impressed odds markers just yet, obviously.

What are your thoughts about these odds? Did any teams get snubbed? Which ones are overrated? Let us know how you feel in the comments.

NHL Draft lottery set for Tuesday night; What are the odds and how does it work?


While most everyone is focused on the playoffs, there’s the other side of the coin for teams that are headed to the golf course. For those teams they’ve got the NHL Draft to look forward to at the end of June and for the teams that missed the playoffs, there’s one formality to take care of before that.

The NHL Draft lottery may not get quite the hype and publicity that it’s NBA brethren might, but the chances of a shakeup in the draft order are just as high. While the NHL lottery hasn’t quite produced the same Earth-shaking changes there’s always the chance that things will go against the grain given how the standings shake out.

At 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday (on Versus), the 14 teams that missed the postseason get to see if they can slide up the rankings at all. As for the odds of how a team can do in the lottery, the odds look like this:

Edmonton – 25.0%
Colorado – 18.8%
Florida – 14.2%
N.Y. Islanders – 10.7%
Ottawa – 8.1%
Atlanta – 6.2%
Columbus – 4.7%
New Jersey – 3.6%
Boston (from Toronto) – 2.7%
Minnesota – 2.1%
Colorado (conditional/optional from St. Louis) – 1.5%
Carolina – 1.1%
Calgary – 0.8%
Dallas – 0.5%

If you’re thinking that these odds differ from the NBA lottery, they don’t but the way the NHL does the lottery means that the teams that just missed out on the playoffs can’t steal their way to the first pick overall. In the NBA that has happened in the past. The NHL does things different so that teams that do the poorest don’t get totally screwed:

“Per NHL rules, the club selected in the Draft Drawing may not move up more than four positions in the draft order. Thus, the only clubs with the opportunity to receive the first overall selection are the five teams with the lowest regular-season point totals, or the clubs that acquired an eligible club’s first-round draft pick. No club will move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Drawing.”

That means that Edmonton, Colorado, Florida, the New York Islanders and Ottawa are the only teams with a shot at the No. 1 pick. Luck has been on the side of the No. 5 team in the past as the Islanders moved up from five to No. 1 back in 2000. That year they took Rick DiPietro first overall. In 2007, Chicago moved from fifth to first and drafted Patrick Kane with the top pick that year. Fate can be bountiful and cruel all the same apparently.

This year, there’s no definitive top player to be taken in the draft and any number of top prospects could go first. Swedish defenseman Adam Larsson, along with North American forwards Jonathan Huberdeau, Gabriel Landeskog, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Sean Couturier should make up the top five in the 2011 draft. As to who could go where, your guess is as good as ours right now.