Tag: draft lottery

Jonathan Huberdeau

Draft lottery odds are set, Panthers have best shot at top pick


For the first time in league history, the NHL Draft Lottery will give all non-playoff teams a shot at the No. 1 pick and everyone’s fate lies in how the ping pong balls decide to bounce. Everyone from the league’s worst team (Florida) to the last team out of the playoffs (Columbus) will have a chance to climb into the driver’s seat.

How do the odds of landing the No. 1 pick shake out for each team? Here’s the rundown:

Florida Panthers – 25.0%
Colorado Avalanche – 18.8%
Tampa Bay Lightning – 14.2%
Nashville Predators – 10.7%
Carolina Hurricanes – 8.1%
Calgary Flames – 6.2%
Edmonton Oilers – 4.7%
Buffalo Sabres – 3.6%
New Jersey Devils – 2.7%
Dallas Stars – 2.1%
Philadelphia Flyers – 1.5%
Phoenix Coyotes – 1.1%
Winnipeg Jets – 0.8%
Columbus Blue Jackets – 0.5%

Teams with poor odds have won the lottery in the past only to be prevented from grabbing the top pick thanks to the old rules. Think back to 2011 when the New Jersey Devils vaulted from 8th to 4th where they grabbed defenseman Adam Larsson.

Should someone other than Florida win the lottery, they’ll move to the top and everyone else will slide back by a pick. Advanced congrats to the Panthers on being No. 1 or No. 2.

This year’s top choice is likely to be defenseman Seth Jones but others like forwards Nathan MacKinnon, Jonathan Drouin, and Aleksander Barkov present excellent options for those teams to improve their future.

You can watch the lottery live on NBCSN tomorrow night at 8 p.m. ET.

2012 lottery: Oilers get top pick for third year in a row

Chicago Blackhawks  v Edmonton Oilers

Brian Burke had some rather pointed things to say about the Pittsburgh Penguins “model” – which essentially came down to being very bad for a very long time to stock up on draft picks – but the Edmonton Oilers have a chance to prove or disprove it in a big way. The Edmonton Oilers won the 2012 NHL Draft Lottery on Tuesday, giving them the No. 1 overall pick for three consecutive seasons.

The Oilers moved up from second place in the draft positioning, beating out the Columbus Blue Jackets, who held a 25 percent chance to take the top spot after recording the worst record in the NHL. Here’s what the draft will look like – at least before trades and other maneuvering takes place.

1 – Edmonton
2 – Columbus
3 – Montreal
4 – NY Islanders
5 – Toronto
6 – Anaheim
7 – Minnesota
8 – Carolina
9 – Winnipeg
10 – Tampa Bay
11 – Washington (via COL)
12 – Buffalo
13 – Dallas
14 – Calgary

In 2010, the Oilers opted to draft winger Taylor Hall instead of center Tyler Seguin. In last year’s draft, Edmonton chose slick playmaking center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins instead of defenseman Adam Larsson.

Which direction should the Oilers go in this year, then? Should they pick Nail Yakupov, the widely-held No. 1 prospect? Should Edmonton instead address the most obvious area of need by adding the best defenseman available? Or perhaps the Oil might be wisest to trade the pick for multiple choices or an immediate improvement?

We’ll have more on this subject soon, but in the mean time, let us know what you think Edmonton and the rest of the lottery teams should consider.

Blue Jackets, Oilers, Habs, Isles and Leafs have a shot at first pick


The vast majority of Saturday’s focus was on the playoffs, but to some fan bases, the biggest wins came in defeat. The 2012 NHL Entry Draft lottery takes place on Tuesday, so if you want a rundown of the rules, click here. The actual positioning has been determined since then, though, so take a look at the rundown via NHL.com.

Odds of winning the draft lottery (Note: I put teams in the running for the first pick in bold)
1 – Columbus – 25.0%
2 – Edmonton – 18.8%
3 – Montreal – 14.2%
4 – NY Islanders – 10.7%
5 – Toronto – 8.1%
6 – Anaheim – 6.2%
7 – Minnesota – 4.7%
8 – Carolina – 3.6%
9 – Winnipeg – 2.7%
10 – Tampa Bay – 2.1%
11 – Washington (via COL) – 1.5%
12 – Buffalo – 1.1%
13 – Dallas – 0.8%
14 – Calgary – 0.5%

NOTE: No team can move up more than four spots, or move down more than one.

One could argue the most interesting scenario might be if the Washington Capitals’ 11th pick (via Colorado in that Semyon Varlamov trade) jumps all the way to the seventh one. Another interesting possibility might come if the lowly Edmonton Oilers receive a third consecutive first overall pick, which is only slightly less than a one-in-five chance.

Here’s a goofy but fun question to chew on: which of the bottom five teams “deserves” the No. 1 pick the most in your mind? Should the sad sack Blue Jackets get the blue chip to start a post-Rick Nash era? Would it be cool to see the Oilers get a trio of unos? How about giving the new Montreal Canadiens GM a great stuff with a first pick, the Islanders another boost in their rebuild or even the Maple Leafs a chance to shake off the Tyler Seguin talk?