Tag: 2011 NHL Draft lottery


Devils win NHL Draft lottery move up to fourth; Edmonton gets top pick in 2011 draft


Even when there’s no loophole to be found, Devils GM Lou Lamoriello finds a way to come out on top. The New Jersey Devils had a 3.6% chance of winning the NHL draft lottery and appeared destined to pick eighth overall. Instead, luck was on their side and they won the lottery meaning they get to move up four spots and will pick fourth overall in the 2011 NHL entry draft.

What that means for the rest of the field is that the top three stays the same and the Edmonton Oilers will pick first overall for the second year in a row. Colorado will pick second overall while Florida will now pick third. Because of the Devils jump up the ladder, the New York Islanders slipped from fourth to fifth while the Ottawa Senators fall back to sixth overall.

With the Devils rise, we’d have to guess that Lamoriello will not be giving up their first round pick this year. Thanks to their mishandling of Ilya Kovalchuk’s signing over the summer, at some point over the next four years the Devils must give up a first round pick. Fortunately for them it’s their option on when to do so. We’re thinking the Devils will be more than ecstatic to choose from one of the big five prospects available.

Ottawa’s tumble down to sixth is extra frustrating for Senators fans. When the Sens traded Brian Elliott to Colorado for Craig Anderson, the Sens were seemingly set to be neck-and-neck with Edmonton for the worst team in the league. Instead, Anderson’s inspired play rallied the Senators so that they finished with the fifth worst record rather than the worst or second worst mark. That rise in mediocrity cost the Sens anywhere from four to five spots in the draft. If the Sens strike out in the draft again this year, fans will have even more fodder for GM Bryan Murray.

As it is, here’s how the top half of the draft looks after the lottery.

  1. Edmonton
  2. Colorado
  3. Florida
  4. New Jersey
  5. New York Islanders
  6. Ottawa
  7. Atlanta
  8. Columbus
  9. Boston (via Toronto)
  10. Minnesota
  11. Colorado (via St. Louis)
  12. Carolina
  13. Calgary
  14. Dallas

As for who goes first overall, our inclination is to believe that Edmonton will make a beeline for Swedish defenseman Adam Larsson. With young forward talent like Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, Magnus Paajarvi, and Linus Omark all blossoming in Edmonton and their defense looking highly suspect, Larsson almost makes too much sense for the Oilers.

Colorado in second would surely make for a nice home for the draft’s top rated prospect Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. The Avalanche will also have two picks in the top 11 thanks to receiving a conditional first from St. Louis in the Erik Johnson trade.

That would leave talented forwards Sean Couturier, Gabriel Landeskog , and Jonathan Huberdeau left to round out the top five. Other names that could jump up into discussion as the draft draws near are forwards Ryan Strome and Mika Zibanejad as well as defensemen Dougie Hamilton, Nathan Beaulieu, Ryan Murphy, and Duncan Siemens.

The NHL Draft will happen June 24 and 25 from Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. Now that we know who’s picking where atop the draft (the rest of the positions will be determined by who loses when in the playoffs), let the mock drafts and speculation begin in earnest.

NHL Draft lottery set for Tuesday night; What are the odds and how does it work?


While most everyone is focused on the playoffs, there’s the other side of the coin for teams that are headed to the golf course. For those teams they’ve got the NHL Draft to look forward to at the end of June and for the teams that missed the playoffs, there’s one formality to take care of before that.

The NHL Draft lottery may not get quite the hype and publicity that it’s NBA brethren might, but the chances of a shakeup in the draft order are just as high. While the NHL lottery hasn’t quite produced the same Earth-shaking changes there’s always the chance that things will go against the grain given how the standings shake out.

At 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday (on Versus), the 14 teams that missed the postseason get to see if they can slide up the rankings at all. As for the odds of how a team can do in the lottery, the odds look like this:

Edmonton – 25.0%
Colorado – 18.8%
Florida – 14.2%
N.Y. Islanders – 10.7%
Ottawa – 8.1%
Atlanta – 6.2%
Columbus – 4.7%
New Jersey – 3.6%
Boston (from Toronto) – 2.7%
Minnesota – 2.1%
Colorado (conditional/optional from St. Louis) – 1.5%
Carolina – 1.1%
Calgary – 0.8%
Dallas – 0.5%

If you’re thinking that these odds differ from the NBA lottery, they don’t but the way the NHL does the lottery means that the teams that just missed out on the playoffs can’t steal their way to the first pick overall. In the NBA that has happened in the past. The NHL does things different so that teams that do the poorest don’t get totally screwed:

“Per NHL rules, the club selected in the Draft Drawing may not move up more than four positions in the draft order. Thus, the only clubs with the opportunity to receive the first overall selection are the five teams with the lowest regular-season point totals, or the clubs that acquired an eligible club’s first-round draft pick. No club will move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Drawing.”

That means that Edmonton, Colorado, Florida, the New York Islanders and Ottawa are the only teams with a shot at the No. 1 pick. Luck has been on the side of the No. 5 team in the past as the Islanders moved up from five to No. 1 back in 2000. That year they took Rick DiPietro first overall. In 2007, Chicago moved from fifth to first and drafted Patrick Kane with the top pick that year. Fate can be bountiful and cruel all the same apparently.

This year, there’s no definitive top player to be taken in the draft and any number of top prospects could go first. Swedish defenseman Adam Larsson, along with North American forwards Jonathan Huberdeau, Gabriel Landeskog, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Sean Couturier should make up the top five in the 2011 draft. As to who could go where, your guess is as good as ours right now.