TGIF: Five NHL games to watch this weekend

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Saturday: Calgary at Pittsburgh (1 p.m. ET)

You know it’s a banner weekend when a Flames game tops the TGIF list. The Penguins are obviously the reason to watch this matinee. They’ve only lost once in their last 12, and that was the one they blew in Boston. On Thursday, Pittsburgh beat Minnesota, 5-2, with a lineup that was missing Evgeni Malkin, Brooks Orpik, Kris Letang, Rob Scuderi, Paul Martin, and Beau Bennett. Aaaaaaand cue the Calder Trophy buzz for 19-year-old Olli Maatta. (Misguided as it may be, considering he won’t be getting so much ice time once the Pens get healthy.)

Saturday: Colorado at Los Angeles (4 p.m. ET)

Per LA Kings Insider, I really liked this Darryl Sutter quote on how goalie Martin Jones could possibly go undrafted: “I think there are lots of guys that do that. You know what, basically not everybody gets to see everybody, and a lot of times when they see these guys, [it’s] the third game they’ve played in three nights. It’s very different, right? Kids are traveling on the bus for 14 hours. You might not see ‘em. You see him one night, and he has a rough night. The next night he’s great, and you know what? There’s a lot more luck in it than anything.”

Note: Jones played for the WHL’s Calgary Hitmen from 2006-10. Meaning he was playing junior hockey in the Saddledome for pretty much the entire time Sutter was the general manager of the Flames.

Saturday: Detroit at Toronto (7 p.m. ET)

Their first meeting of the season, and their last before the Winter Classic on Jan. 1. Both sides have been struggling of late. The Wings won their first in seven last night, barely beating Calgary, 3-2 in overtime. The Leafs, meanwhile, have just three regulation wins in their last 23 games. Yes, injuries have been a factor for both teams. And the Wings’ record would look a lot better without that 0-for-6 mark in the shootout. But the standings care not for excuses, legitimate or not.

PS — get a load of Detroit’s schedule post-Winter Classic:

source:

Gulp.

Saturday: New Jersey at Washington (7 p.m. ET)

Per Extra Skater, here are the top eight teams in the NHL in terms of Corsi (five on five, score close):

source:

One of these things is not like the others,
One of these things just doesn’t belong…

How can the Devils be such a good possession team (say the stats) and have such a mediocre record? Because it was the same story last season when they missed the playoffs. One theory says the Devils shoot the puck whenever they possibly can, a tendency that, theoretically, would make the data a less effective proxy for possession. (Quite possibly the nerdiest sentence I’ve ever written.) Another theory is a much simpler one: the Devils haven’t received very good goaltending compared to the rest of the league (something I wrote about earlier in the week.) Other potential theories include not being very good shooters, surrendering too many prime scoring opportunities, and being downright unlucky. (Coach Pete DeBoer subscribed to the latter theory last year.)

Saturday: Dallas at San Jose (10:30 p.m ET)

In terms of entertainment value, the Stars have to be right up near the top of the NHL. I mean, this goal they scored last night versus the Canucks…

…was a nice goal. Unfortunately, only 15,644 were in the building to see it. Maybe once the Cowboys are put out of their misery, the hockey team will get some attention in Big D.

Talbot torments Ducks as Oilers take 2-0 series lead

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Those who vehemently argued for Cam Talbot being a Vezina finalist likely felt vindicated tonight (even if postseason results don’t factor into the voting).

In Game 1, Leon Draisaitl stole the show. Talbot was the standout of Game 2, snubbing a steady Ducks threat as Edmonton won 2-1 on Friday.

And, just like that, the Oilers are up 2-0 in their second-round series against the Anaheim Ducks. Better yet for this young group: the venue shifts to what’s likely to be a rowdy scene in Edmonton for Games 3 and 4.

The tone was set when Andrej Sekera scored just 65 seconds into the contest. That said, the Oilers could have sulked when a would-be 2-0 goal was called off (and they had to kill a penalty). Instead, they just kept battling, even after Jakob Silfverberg ended Talbot’s shutout bit with a laser beam on the power play.

Speaking of the power play, the Oilers managed to match the Ducks (1-for-4 each on the PP), even as Talbot faced 12 shots on goal during Anaheim’s power-play opportunities.

Talbot ultimately made 39 of 40 stops, and while the Ducks kept Connor McDavid from scoring, number 97 sure looked speedy and dangerous at times in Game 2.

Anaheim came into the second round with home-ice advantage through the West side of the playoffs, seemingly enjoying a golden opportunity when other conference powers fell. Instead, it’s looking like the Oilers might just have a chance to prove that they’re big-time contenders, too.

Game 3 airs on NBCSN at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday. You can watch online and via the NBC Sports App; click here for the livestream.

Latest goalie interference mess: Oilers get penalty, not goal

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Ah, goalie interference. Does the fun ever start?

Arguably the most irritating facet of the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs reared its pesky head once again on Friday, as the Edmonton Oilers saw a would-be 2-0 goal disallowed in the first period of Game 2 against the Anaheim Ducks.

The goal wasn’t just disallowed, either, as Mark Letestu was given a minor penalty.

One would imagine that there are opinions for or against the goal (and penalty counting); there are also many who are just getting a little worn out by the uncertainty surrounding such calls. Tomas Holmstrom is nodding his head so hard right now, everyone.

Here’s one unhappy take:

Moments after this post went up, the Oilers made it 2-0 for real this time. Check out the game here.

Math may help build Vegas Knights, but biggest aim is not being boring

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Unlike Pierre Dorion, it sounds like Vegas Golden Knights GM George McPhee would rather listen to analytics-minded people rather than … you know, hit them.

As McPhee readies for the expansion draft, he told The Star’s Kevin McGran in Q&A that they’ll at least be factored into decisions.

I’ve been really fascinated by how revealing that data can be. You have these kids speaking a different language. But I’m convinced it has a really important place in this game. You have to pay attention to it, and you have to use it.

Naturally, the real question with McPhee and other executives comes down to how much they will lean on analytics. Some teams seem to pick and choose when to listen to such voices, ending up with an odd mix of moves that please and unnerve the “fancy stats” community.

Owner Bill Foley gave a good idea of how much they’ll lean on stats vs. more traditional approaches in an interview with the Vegas Hockey Hotline back in February, which was transcribed by The Hockey Writers’ Keith Scheessele.

“Analytics is not going to drive how we draft,” Foley said. “Analytics are going to supplement what the scouts are seeing. We’re going to rely on the scouts and what they recommend.”

(Foley also spoke of rating players in 10 different categories, which started to make one think about how old sports video games could only quantify skills in so many ways. Anyway …)

So, it sounds like McPhee & Co. will take a modern approach – a mixture of the old and the new – rather than going full-on bold and revolutionary like, say, the Cleveland Browns or Golden State Warriors.

Considering the mystery of roster quality one faces with the Vegas Knights, it honestly might be most important that McPhee is repeatedly stating that he doesn’t aim to put together a boring hockey team.

Hey, if it takes a while to be good, at least the Vegas Knights might fit with their environment and put on a show.

Tarasenko’s two goals help Blues tie series with Predators

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One of the (many) remarkable things about the St. Louis Blues dispatching the Minnesota Wild was that they didn’t need a ton of production from Vladimir Tarasenko. He didn’t score a goal until the clinching game of that series.

The Blues needed more from him tonight, and he responded with two huge goals to help St. Louis win 3-2 in Game 2, tying the second-round series at 1-1.

Tarasenko scored the opening goal on that major power-play opportunity from the Vernon Fiddler knee on Colton Parayko, while Joel Edmundson wisely got out of the way to let Tarasenko nab the game-winner.

That ended up being the decisive factor as the Nashville Predators finally lost their first game of the postseason.

St. Louis must be breathing a sigh of relief for a number of reasons. The series shifts to Nashville for Games 3 and 4, so going down 2-0 might have been lethal.

Even beyond that, the Blues had some breaks go their way that likely won’t repeat to the same degree in future contests. The Predators didn’t receive a single power-play opportunity while St. Louis spent significant chunks of the contest on the man advantage, going 1-for-5 (but again, that includes a major).

The Blues also won despite what must have been a frustrating start. They only managed a 1-1 tie after the first 20 minutes despite holding Nashville to a mere three shots on goal.

The Predators also managed leads of 1-0 and 2-1, yet the Blues kept fighting to get back in this series. Game 3 will air on NBC at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. You can watch online and via the NBC Sports App (Click here for the livestream link).

* – That said, he made a lot of commotion to set up Edmundson’s overtime game-winner from Game 1. That connection continued on Friday, as you likely noticed.