Mike Cammalleri, Mike Richards

Kings face tough odds to stay in playoffs

1 Comment

Many people probably already wondered this, but last night’s 4-1 loss to the Colorado Avalanche really makes this question a necessity: are the Los Angeles Kings going to miss the playoffs? Let’s break it down.

The standings

First things first, glance at the West playoff picture.

source:  (click to enlarge)

The nerdy perspective

Los Angeles would be in the playoffs if they began today but the Kings aren’t in Sports Club Stats’ top eight over the long haul. The trusty Web site puts the Calgary Flames’ odds significantly higher (40.1 percent chance), while the Kings (29.1 percent) edge the Dallas Stars (22.1 percent) for ninth place.

The Kings’ loss to Colorado dropped their odds by a whopping 12.2 percent, so even unfeeling supercomputers* hated that defeat.

What the Kings need to do

By Sports Club’s calculations, Los Angeles likely needs to churn out an 11-6-4 record to make the playoffs. (That record gives them a 73 percent chance.) A 12-6-3 (86.3 percent) or 13-6-2 (94.1 percent) mark would really do the job, though.

Can they do it? Teams can certainly overcome tough schedules, but they can swing the tide of close battles in a parity-laced league

Kings’ schedule overall

The Kings have 21 games left this season, with nine at home and 12 on the road.

The good news is that might be better on the road than at home (perhaps because of their not-so-thrilling style). The Kings are a mediocre 15-13-4 at the Staples Center and a scrappy 12-9-8 abroad.

Los Angeles better retain its road warrior status coming up, though, because the next few weeks good get ugly.

Big challenges up ahead

After a home game against Chicago on Saturday, the Kings play six of seven games on the road, with plenty of tough Central Division matches (only one coming against Columbus). Mid-March provides a reward of five out of six home games, but then they end March with a rigorous four-game trip through the Northwest.

With that in mind, a March 28 match against the Flames in Calgary could have gigantic playoff implications. It’s also quite possible that a home-and-home series with the San Jose Sharks could very well make-or-break their playoff hopes.

(Oh, in case you’re wondering, the Flames play 14 out of their 22 remaining contests in Calgary, which is probably why those foreboding supercomputers seem to love them so much.)


Looking at the situation, I don’t feel fantastic about the Kings’ playoff hopes – especially with the seventh-seeded Phoenix Coyotes building themselves a nice cushion. If GM Dean Lombardi believes his job’s in jeopardy, he better trade for reinforcements because this won’t be easy.

* Note: I assume all formulas are created by unfeeling supercomputers. I am not a man of science.

Lucic: If I wanted to hurt Couture, ‘I would have hurt him’


Last night in Los Angeles, Kings forward Milan Lucic received a match penalty after skating the entire width of the ice to give San Jose’s Logan Couture a two-hand shove to the face.

Lucic didn’t hurt Couture, who had caught Lucic with an open-ice hit that Lucic didn’t like. Couture’s smiling, mocking face was good evidence that the Sharks’ forward was going to be OK.

This morning, Lucic was still in disbelief that he was penalized so harshly.

“I didn’t cross any line,” Lucic said, per Rich Hammond of the O.C. Register. “Believe me, if my intentions were to hurt him, I would have hurt him.”

While Lucic knew he deserved a penalty, he said after the game that he didn’t “know why it was called a match penalty.” His coach, Darryl Sutter, agreed, calling it “a borderline even roughing penalty.”

And though former NHL referee Kerry Fraser believes a match penalty was indeed warranted, Lucic said this morning that he hasn’t heard from the NHL about any possible supplemental discipline.

Nor for that matter has Dustin Brown, after his high hit on Couture in the first period.

In conclusion, it’s good to have hockey back.

Related: Sutter says Kings weren’t ‘interested’ in checking the Sharks

Torres apologizes to Silfverberg and Sharks


A statement from Raffi Torres:

“I accept the 41-game suspension handed down to me by the NHL’s Department of Player Safety. I worked extremely hard over the last two years following reconstructive knee surgery to resume my NHL career, and this is the last thing I wanted to happen. I am disappointed I have put myself in a position to be suspended again. I sincerely apologize to Jakob for the hit that led to this suspension, and I’m extremely thankful that he wasn’t seriously injured as a result of the play. I also want to apologize to my Sharks teammates and the organization.”

A statement from San Jose GM Doug Wilson:

“The Sharks organization fully supports the NHL’s supplementary discipline decision regarding Raffi. While we do not believe there was any malicious intent, this type of hit is unacceptable and has no place in our game. There is a difference between playing hard and crossing the line and there is no doubt, in this instance, Raffi crossed that line. We’re very thankful that Jakob was not seriously injured as a result of this play.”

Silfverberg says he expects to play Saturday when the Ducks open their regular season Saturday in San Jose.