PHT Oddsmaker: Let’s gamble on the NHL

4 Comments

PHT Oddsmaker will be a regular feature where we set pretend odds and pretend to gamble on them. If you’d like to bet real money, meet us in the alley and we’ll talk.

Odds Cory Schneider will be Vancouver’s starting goalie for Game 1 of the playoffs (+300)

Canucks coach Alain Vigneault said yesterday that Roberto Luongo was still the team’s first choice in goal. His exact words were, “Obviously, Roberto is our No. 1 goaltender.” However, it might not be so obvious come April. Schneider is 7-4-0 with a 1.93 GAA and .937 SV%. Nobody’s expecting him to maintain that pace forever, but what happens if, at the end of the regular season, he’s outplayed Luongo? If that’s the case – and it’s not exactly a stretch – the only legitimate reason to go with Luongo is playoff experience. The big contract should play absolutely no role in the coach’s decision. And to be fair, it’s never really played a role. Vigneault started Schneider in Game 6 against the Blackhawks and he’s riding Schneider now. I’ll take +300.

Odds the Predators sign Ryan Suter to a long-term contract (-125)

If you believe his agent, Suter “wants to be” in Nashville. However, Neil Sheehy also said there are “issues” that still need to be addressed. One of those issues will be money. Obviously. But another will be the Preds’ chances of ever winning a Stanley Cup. Even when you’re a millionaire, it’s frustrating to play for a team with no shot at a championship. And looking at Nashville’s current roster, the chances are pretty slim. Ownership can promise it’ll spend to the cap and bring in some high-priced forwards, but that would be a huge leap of faith for Suter to take. Why not be a millionaire in Detroit, where you’re guaranteed to pass the puck up to forwards like Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg? With Nicklas Lidstrom close to retirement and loads of cap space for Ken Holland to play with, I think I’ll pass on this bet.

Odds the Capitals win the Southeast Division (-200)

They’re currently in second, five points back of Florida (with a game in hand) and one point ahead of Tampa Bay (each team has played 23 games). We’ll leave Winnipeg and Carolina out of the discussion. As poorly as the Caps are playing, it’s hard to picture them finishing behind anyone in the Southeast. No offense to the Panthers, but they’re overachieving. The Lightning has top-end talent, but depth and goaltending are significant concerns. Washington will put a run together eventually. The Caps should receive a big boost once Mike Green gets healthy. I’m confident they’ll win the division, even at -200.

The West’s next round is now set (and wide-open)

Getty
Leave a comment

Saturday was a great day for fans of brevity and revenge.

Three of a possible three series ended on this day, with the Rangers dispatching the Canadiens, the Blues eliminating the “better” Wild, and the Oilers knocking off the Sharks in six.

The Rangers await either the Bruins or Senators and the Penguins face the winner of the Leafs – Capitals series out East, but we now know how the West shakes out.

St. Louis Blues vs. Nashville Predators

Both teams provided some of the upsets of this young postseason. Each features a red-hot goalie in Jake Allen and Pekka Rinne. Interesting.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers

There will be a lot of orange. We may also see a ton of goals with Ryan Getzlaf on fire, Oscar Klefbom headlining the list of unhealthy players and Connor McDavid possibly able to really take off against a Ducks defense that is beat up in its own right.

It’s already been a strange season out West, with the Kings missing the playoffs and first-round exits for the Sharks and Blackhawks. Get ready – and giddy – for things to get even weirder as the postseason goes along.

Oilers win first series since 2006 after Sharks fall crossbar short of overtime

8 Comments

After making the playoffs for the first time since 2006, the Edmonton Oilers weren’t just “happy to be there.” They confirmed as much by eliminating the San Jose Sharks with a 3-1 victory in Game 6, winning the series 4-2.

Yes, those young Oilers just eliminated the team that represented the West in the 2016 Stanley Cup Final. Wow.

Ultimately, winning the breakaway battle in the second period indeed made the difference. Leon Draisaitl and Anton Slepyshev scored on their chances in the middle frame while Patrick Marleau could not; Slepyshev’s 2-0 goal ultimately became the series-clincher.

Now, that’s not to say that Marleau was a drag on San Jose. If this is it for one of the faces of the franchise, he had a great 2016-17, including generating the Sharks’ final goal of the postseason.

The Shark Tank was alive after Marleau reduced the Oilers’ lead to 2-1, and more than a few blood pressures rose – both in Edmonton and San Jose – after the Sharks got this close to tying things up.

Wow.

With this result, the West is set. The St. Louis Blues will take on the Nashville Predators while the Oilers face the Anaheim Ducks.

As much as people try to put the training wheels on Connor McDavid & Co., the West is wide-open enough that it’s not so outrageous to imagine a big run for Edmonton.

Beating the Sharks is a pretty nice way of adding an exclamation point to that statement win. And hey … they beat the Sharks last time around, too.

Canadiens sound a lot like Wild after playoff exit (without ‘better team’ talk)

Getty
Leave a comment

Much like the Minnesota Wild earlier on Saturday, the Montreal Canadiens are stunned to approach the golf courses so rapidly.

Many of the responses after the New York Rangers eliminated them in Game 6 sound a lot like what the Wild uttered, though there’s no potential bulletin board material like Bruce Boudreau’s line about the better team failing to win four games.

Max Pacioretty viewed this early exit as a “missed opportunity” and never really believed that an elimination was coming.

Claude Julien provided parallel comments to Bruce Boudreau, believing that Montreal generated chances but lacked “finish.”

Brendan Gallagher? He worries that this might have been the Canadiens’ best chance, something the Wild must also worry about with a difficult offseason ahead.

Now, it’s likely that most teams speak about being shocked and expecting better after being booted from the postseason.

Still, these reactions do shine a light on the staggering nature of some of these exits. Will the likes of the Blackhawks, Canadiens and Wild struggle to be in such prime positions in the future? With the Sharks needing a comeback against the Oilers, could the trend continue on Saturday?

The bottom line is that, instead of preparing for a Game 7 after winning the Atlantic Division, the Canadiens are packing up their stuff and worrying about re-signing Carey Price. That’s a pretty stunning turnaround, regardless of the soundbytes available.

Video: Draisaitl, Slepyshev score on breakaways, Talbot spurns Marleau

Leave a comment

Some playoff games or even series come down to something as stupidly simple as one team taking advantage of their opportunities while the other fails to capitalize on chances.

If Game 6 of the Oilers – Sharks series follows the story of the second period, then San Jose may join Saturday’s stream of eliminated teams.

It’s not fair to boil it down to three breakaways, but some might feel that way.

Leon Draisaitl looked like a gritty, strong veteran during his first career playoff goal, bulling his way to the net for 1-0 breakaway tally. About a minute later, Anton Slepyshev was even more alone against Martin Jones, and he scored his first postseason goal to make it 2-0.

That stings for the Sharks, and it doesn’t help that they had a similar chance not long after. This time around, Patrick Marleau couldn’t beat Cam Talbot, so it remained 2-0 for Edmonton.

That’s the same score as the game enters the third period, even with some dangerous late chances for the Sharks.

If the Sharks don’t score at least two goals in the third, their push to return to the Stanley Cup Final could end in the first round.