Curtis Glencross: Trade value vs. team value

It’s times like these when we should all be happy we’re not a GM of an NHL team. Sure, we all have ideas on how our favorite team could be run better—and depending on the GM, sometimes we may have a point. But as the trade deadline approaches, some very difficult decisions are made that are bound to draw the ire of fans regardless of which path is traveled.

Nothing exemplifies the point better than interim-GM Jay Feaster’s quandary in Calgary. After starting the season as flag bearers for the Lose for Larsson neighborhood of the NHL, the Flames have caught fire in 2011 and are currently on the bubble for the last playoff spot in the West (nevermind the entire Western Conference is seemingly on the bubble for the playoffs and everyone has games in hand). So what do they do when they have a pending Unrestricted Free Agent who may walk at the end of the year for nothing? It’s no secret Curtis Glencross has shown signs of being a productive NHL player during stretches of time in Calgary. On the flip-side, he’s also shown the knack for falling out of favor with management and ended up sitting next to the walking wounded in the press box as a healthy scratch.

Inconsistencies aside, Glencross is currently sitting with 19 goals and 31 points on the year. His 19 goals are good for 2nd on a team that depends on scoring by committee to get the job done. Not too bad for a guy who went undrafted and signed as a free agent out of Alaska-Anchorage.

Here’s a self-assessment of where he stands:

“In the last two or three years, I’ve wanted to hit 20 goals and 20 assists for 40 points… that’s kind of been my goal. I’ve had injury problems and missed 20 games every year and this is the first year — knock on wood — that I haven’t missed too many games. Right now, I’m going to set myself a new goal and push for 25 or 30.”

Here’s the rub: Do the Flames keep red-hot Glencross on the team as they make a push towards the playoffs? Or do they move him at the deadline for a higher draft pick to prepare for the future? With Chris Kellys of the world fetching 2nd rounders, there are those in Alberta who have visions of 1st rounders dancing through their heads. Make no mistake about it—if a pending UFA who has periodically been a healthy scratch over the last 2 years can get a 1st rounder, you do it and run as fast as you can. But that’s probably not realistic.

While people might want to compare Glencross to guys like Kris Versteeg and Mike Fisher, it’s important to remember that both of those players have years remaining on their contracts. Not only do they help the Flyers and Predators in their drive towards the playoffs, but they’ll be around next year as they compete, as well. There’s long-term value to take into consideration.

Realistically, he’s much more like Chris Kelly on the ice. Like Kelly, the team that requires Glencross is getting a rental player who will be free to walk away for nothing on July 1. Glencross scores more points, Kelly is a better 2-way player who plays the pivot. It’s like comparing apples and oranges; but at the end of the day, they’re both fruit.

This brings us to Jay Feaster. Since the Flames are neither in the Canucks’ penthouse, nor the Oilers’ outhouse, Feaster will have to weigh Glencross’s value to the Flames versus his value on the open market. In this case, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Feaster hold onto his tradable asset past the February 28th deadline. Any player coming back in a trade would have to be able to step in immediately and fill the shoes of the 2nd leading scorer. For a team that is built much more for the present than they are for the future, it’s hard to believe Feaster would trade a player who has become an important part of the team. Unless he’s presented with an outstanding offer beyond his expectations, the Flames will realize he’s more valuable on the ice than he is as an asset.

The NHL Draft Lottery is tonight, here are the odds for every team and TV information

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Saturday night is going to be a big night for the 14 NHL teams that did not qualify for the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs because one of them will be the lucky winner of the 2017 NHL Draft Lottery, giving them the No. 1 pick in the draft.

While there probably isn’t going to be a Connor McDavid or Auston Matthews at the top of this year’s class, the top-two prospects (Nolan Patrick and Nico Hischier) both have huge potential.

The Colorado Avalanche, owners of the NHL’s worst record in 2016-17, have the best odds at winning the lottery. The Avalanche last selected first overall in 2013 when they picked Nathan MacKinnon. New York Islanders have a less than one percent chance of winning.

The expansion Vegas Golden Knights have a 10.3 percent chance of winning the top pick.

Here is everything you need to know about tonight’s lottery

When: 8 p.m. ET, just prior to faceoff of Game 2 of the Pittsburgh Penguins-Washington Capitals second-round playoff series

TV: NBC

Odds for every team in the lottery:

Colorado Avalanche — 18.0%

Vancouver Canucks — 12.1%

Vegas Golden Knights — 10.3%

Arizona Coyotes — 10.3%

New Jersey Devils — 8.5%

Buffalo Sabres — 7.6%

Detroit Red Wings — 6.7%

Dallas Stars — 5.8%

Florida Panthers — 5.4%

Los Angeles Kings — 4.5%

Carolina Hurricanes — 3.2%

Winnipeg Jets — 2.7%

Philadelphia Flyers — 2.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning 1.8%

New York Islanders — 0.9%

The NHL draft will be held on Friday, June 23 (first round) and Saturday, June 24 (rounds two through seven) at United Center in Chicago.

Paul Carey replaces Brett Connolly for Capitals in Game 2

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After dropping Game 1 of their second-round playoff series against the Pittsburgh Penguins on Thursday night, the Washington Capitals are making a minor lineup change on Saturday for Game 2 of the series when Paul Carey replaces Brett Connolly on the team’s fourth line.

Carey, 28, appeared in only six games for the Capitals this season and did not record a point. He has one goal and one assist in 32 career NHL games with the Colorado Avalanche and Capitals, and appeared in three playoff games for the Avalanche back in 2014.

Given how Connolly’s ice time has been decreasing over the past few games this postseason it probably should not be too much of a surprise that he is now being removed from the lineup. After logging at least 10 minutes of ice time in each of the Capitals’ first three playoff games, he has not played more than 6:12 in each of the past four.

Coach Barry Trotz said on Saturday that he likes Carey’s speed in the lineup against the faster Penguins.

Connolly scored 15 goals in 66 regular season games for the Capitals this season.

In other Capitals lineup news, there is no change in the status of defenseman Karl Alzner as he will remain out of the lineup. He has been sidelined since Game 3 of their first-round series against the Toronto Maple Leafs with an upper-body injury. Nate Schmidt will continue to take his place.

Scott Darling trade ‘worth the risk’ for Hurricanes

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The Carolina Hurricanes made a somewhat surprising move on Friday night when they acquired goaltender Scott Darling from the Chicago Blackhawks in exchange for a third-round draft pick in 2017.

On the surface it looks like a good move for both the team and the player. Goaltending has been a major thorn in the Hurricanes’ side for several years now, while Darling has probably earned the opportunity to be a No. 1 goalie in the NHL after performing extremely well as Corey Crawford‘s backup in Chicago.

The risk for the Hurricanes is that Darling will be an unrestricted free agent on July 1, and they will have to get him signed to a new contract before then to avoid potentially losing him (and the third-round pick they sent to Chicago) for nothing.

Shortly after the trade on Friday, Hurricanes general manager Ron Francis said all of that was worth the risk because the team has accumulated so many draft picks in this year’s class.

“This is a bit of a gamble but one we believed was worth taking,” Francis told Chip Alexander of the News & Observer. “This is why we accumulated these picks and we still have 10 left. It was worth the risk.”

He added that they would “like to get something done sooner rather than later.”

The duo of Cam Ward and Eddie Lack finished the 2016-17 season with a .901 save percentage, 26th in the NHL. The Hurricanes have finished higher than 25th just once in the past five years. The Hurricanes have solid young core of talent in place and a defense that allowed the fifth fewest shots on goal in the entire league this season. Solidifying the goaltending position would go a long way toward ending the team’s current eight year playoff drought.

 

2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs schedule for Saturday, April 29

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The second round of the 2017 Stanley Cup playoff continues on Saturday with a pair of games on NBC.

All of the action starts at 3 p.m. ET when the New York Rangers try to even their series against the Ottawa Senators. Later, the Pittsburgh Penguins look to take a 2-0 series lead against the Washington Capitals at 8 p.m. ET.

Here is all of the information you need for today’s games.

New York Rangers vs. Ottawa Senators

Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Network: NBC (Stream Online Here)

Announcers: John Forslund, Brian Boucher

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

Network: NBC (Stream Online Here)

Announcers: Mike Emrick, Ed Olczyk, Pierre McGuire