Around the rink – February 16th; Caps face Ducks, Western playoff battles pick up

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7:00 p.m.

Toronto @ Buffalo

Two teams looking to build off momentum from big wins last night. Toronto took out Boston with Phil Kessel and Mikhail Grabovski showing up in big ways. Buffalo was down 2-0 in the shootout against Montreal and stormed back to win. Toronto is on the outside fringe of playoff discussion while Buffalo is right there in the mix. Buffalo is usually a house of horror for the Leafs and the Sabres will have Ryan Miller back in goal after getting a full night off last night. If last night’s game was Phil Kessel’s awakening, is it possible the Leafs can make a run? Unleashing the potential of a 40-goal scorer late in the season would be a huge boost.

Carolina @ New Jersey

Carolina seeks to hang tight in the playoff race while the Devils look to firmly assert themselves into the hunt. For the Devils, knocking off a team that’s sitting just ahead of them in the East standings would help out immensely. Meanwhile, Carolina will be without defenseman Ian White as it appears the team is close to trading him. As it is, New Jersey is 14 points behind eighth place Carolina. It would take the Devils to continue on their ridiculous tear of late and make it last the rest of the season to get there, but you just never know what will happen, especially with teams near the bottom of the East playoff race losing more often than not.

Los Angeles @ Columbus

The Kings look to keep things rolling well on their 10 game road trip. They’ve gone 4-0-2 on it to this point and taking out a Columbus team that’s snapped out of their own funk of late would do wonders for their standing in the playoff race. Columbus is just four points behind L.A. in the West as the Kings are just one point behind Calgary for eighth in the West. Yeah, things are a bit tight. The Jackets go into this game winners of five of their last six games and two in a row.

7:30 p.m.

Philadelphia @ Florida

The Flyers got a big win in the shootout against Tampa Bay last night to help put a little space between themselves and the Lightning. Tonight they go to Sunrise to take on a Panthers team they’ve alternately handled well and been humbled harshly by. As always with the Panthers, it depends on which version of Tomas Vokoun shows up. If it’s the one they beat 5-2 earlier this year then great. If it’s the one who shut them out 5-0 in Philadelphia then life will be miserable. For Philly, they’d also like to see James vanRiemsdyk emerge as a power player for them. After a goal and an assist last night, giving him 13 goals on the season, he’s a real wild card. Perhaps the addition of Kris Versteeg will help him breakout further.

8:00 p.m.

Minnesota @ Chicago

Chicago will be without coach Joel Quenneville for this game as he was hospitalized late last night. Assistant coach Mike Haviland will have control of the team tonight and he’ll get Patrick Kane back in the lineup as well after being out with the flu. The Wild are hoping to keep the good times rolling but they’ll have their hands full with a Chicago team likely motivated to play hard for Quenneville while he’s out. The Wild have won nine of their last 12 games going 9-3-0 in that span to get them into the playoff race just one point behind Calgary for eighth. Chicago is four back of the eighth spot. Smells like a gut check game for both teams.

9:00 p.m.

Pittsburgh @ Colorado

It’s the war of the skating wounded as two of the NHL’s most injured teams will square off in Denver. If you bought tickets to this game earlier in the season hoping to see Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin take on Matt Duchene and the Avalanche, you’re going to be very disappointed having all three players out of action. The Avs are looking to get re-inspired after suffering a punishing 9-1 loss to Calgary on Monday. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has lost four of their last five and two in a row. A loss here for Pittsburgh might send their faithful into a full-fledged panic.

9:30 p.m.

Dallas @ Calgary

Dallas has lost six of their last seven and eight of their last ten. They’ve fallen out of first place and last night they even lost to the lowly Oilers 4-1. All is not well in Dallas and running into a scorching hot Calgary team isn’t about to help matters. The Flames thought they might be without Tim Jackman and Olli Jokinen as both suffered injuries in the 9-1 win over Colorado, but both players skated this morning meaning the Flames will be ready to go tonight. Calgary has won nine of their last 12 games and sit in the eighth spot in the West. How fun would a Calgary-Vancouver series be in the playoffs?

10:00 p.m.

Washington @ Anaheim

It’s either the best or worst time for the Caps to make a road trip out west. Their offense is struggling and the team has lost three in a row and six of their last eight. If you thought the pressure was on the team earlier this year while the HBO cameras were filming their eight-game losing skid, with the playoffs fast approaching the pressure is on. Tonight, they’ll get to see Curtis McElhinney in goal as Jonas Hiller is back on the IR with fatigue and shortness of breath. The Ducks are tough defensively but if the Caps offensive woes continue against a backup goalie, the panic button is about to get smashed to pieces in D.C. The Ducks are no pushovers though as they come into this game winners of four straight and eight of their last ten.

Draisaitl on signing with Oilers: ‘We have something really special’

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As a restricted free agent, Leon Draisaitl only had so much say regarding his future with the Edmonton Oilers, especially since teams rarely send offer sheets around in the NHL.

Even so, Draisaitl could have opted for a “bridge” deal; instead, he signed for the maximum of eight years for a whopping $68 million on Wednesday.

Some would probably grumble but understand if Draisaitl explained his rational by pointing at one of those big checks or at a calculator. Instead, the promising young forward explained that he believes that the Oilers have a bright future, and he wants to be a part of it.

In case you’re wondering, additional details have surfaced regarding the year-to-year breakdown of Draisaitl’s deal. TVA’s Renaud Lavoie also reports that Draisaitl has a no-movement clause, thus making it that much more likely that he’ll get his wish to stick with the Oilers:

Of course, with Draisaitl and Connor McDavid combining for a $21M cap hit beginning in 2018-19, the bigger question is not whether they will stay, but who the Oilers will manage to keep in the fold.

Still, that’s for GM Peter Chiarelli & Co. to decide. For Draisaitl, this is a great moment, and he might even be able to back up that big contract with big results on the ice.

Cullen explains why he chose Wild over Penguins

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If you check out a bio on Matt Cullen, you’ll notice that he’s from Minnesota. It doesn’t take a leak, then, to explain why Cullen signed a one-year deal with the Minnesota Wild on Wednesday.

As Cullen explained to Michael Russo of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, “this is a family decision.” As he goes deeper into his logic, even especially sore Pittsburgh Penguins fans should probably understand Cullen’s perspective.

“Minnesota is home and it’s a special place for me,” Cullen said. “It’s not easy to say goodbye and it’s not easy to walk away [from Pittsburgh]. I’m confident in the decision we’re making and it’s the right thing for our family. But at the same time, it’s not an easy one.

Now, to be fair, Cullen also told Russo that he believes the Wild are a “hungry” team that might have been the West’s best in 2016-17. It’s not like he’s roughing it, and surely the $1 million (and $700K in performance bonuses that Wild GM Chuck Fletcher hopes Cullen collects) didn’t hurt, either.

Still, such a decision makes extra sense for a 40-year-old who’s played for eight different NHL teams during his impressive career. Russo’s story about Cullen attending his kids games and seeing his brothers is worth a read just for those warm and fuzzy feelings we often forget about in crunching the numbers and pondering which teams might be big-time contenders in 2017-18.

This isn’t to say that getting a fourth Stanley Cup ring wouldn’t be appealing to Cullen, but perhaps he’ll get his family time and win big, too?

There’s also the familiarity that comes with playing three fairly recent seasons with the Wild, so Cullen’s choice seems like it checks a lot of the boxes.

In other positive Wild news, Russo reports that Eric Staal is feeling 100 percent after suffering a concussion during the playoffs.

Tuesday was Wild day at PHT, but perhaps this feels more like Wild week?

Bovada gives McDavid higher odds than Crosby to win Hart in 2017-18

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In handing Connor McDavid an eight-year, $100 million extension, the Edmonton Oilers essentially are paying the 20-year-old star based on the assumption that he’ll provide MVP-quality play.

At least one Vegas oddsmaker agrees, as Bovada tabbed McDavid as the favorite to win the Hart Trophy, edging Sidney Crosby.

That’s interesting, yet it might be even more interesting to note where other players fall in the rankings. Auston Matthews coming in third is particularly intriguing.

Who are some of the more interesting choices? The 20/1 range seems appealing, as Carey Price is one of the few goalies with the notoriety to push for such honors while John Tavares has the skill and financial motivation to produce the best work of his career next season.

Anyway, entertain yourself with those odds, via Bovada: (Quick note: Bovada originally had Artemi Panarin listed as still playing with Chicago. PHT went ahead and fixed that in the bit below.)

2017 – 2018 – Who will win the Hart Memorial Trophy as the NHL’s Most Valuable Player?
Connor McDavid (EDM)                         3/2
Sidney Crosby (PIT)                              5/2
Auston Matthews (TOR)                         17/2
Alex Ovechkin (WAS)                            9/1
Patrick Kane (CHI)                                 14/1
Vladimir Tarasenko (STL)                       15/1
Evgeni Malkin (PIT)                                16/1
Carey Price (MON)                                 20/1
John Tavares (NYI)                                20/1
Jamie Benn (DAL)                                 25/1
Steven Stamkos (TB)                             25/1
Erik Karlsson (OTT)                               33/1
Nikita Kucherov (TB)                              33/1
Jack Eichel (BUF)                                  50/1
Ryan Getzlaf (ANA)                               50/1
Patrik Laine (WPG)                                50/1
Brad Marchand (BOS)                            50/1
Tyler Seguin (DAL)                                50/1
Nicklas Backstrom (WAS)                      60/1
Brent Burns (SJ)                                    60/1
Braden Holtby (WAS)                            60/1
Phil Kessel (PIT)                                    60/1
Artemi Panarin (CBJ)                              60/1
Joe Pavelski (SJ)                                  60/1

Oilers cap situation is scary, and not just because of Draisaitl, McDavid

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The Edmonton Oilers pulled the trigger – and likely made teams with big RFA headaches like the Boston Bruins grimace – in signing Leon Draisaitl to a massive eight-year, $68 million contract on Wednesday.

You have to do a little stretching to call it a good deal, although credit Puck Daddy’s Greg Wyshysnki with some reasonably stated optimism.

Either way, the per-year cap bill for Connor McDavid and Draisaitl is $21 million once McDavid’s extension kicks in starting in 2018-19; that’s the same combined cost that Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane receive … and those two got those paydays after they won three Stanley Cups for the Chicago Blackhawks.

Now, if the Oilers struggle in the near future, plenty of people will heap blame on McDavid and/or Draisaitl. Really, though, the true scapegoats should be a management team with more strikeouts than homers.

(As usual, Cap Friendly was a key resource in studying Edmonton’s salary structure.)

Bloated supporting cast

There are some frightening contracts on the books in Edmonton, especially if a few situations work out unfavorably.

At 29, there’s severe risk of regression with Milan Lucic, even if he enjoys a more stable second season with Edmonton. He carries a $6M cap hit through 2022-23, so he’ll be on the books for all but two years of Draisaitl’s new deal.

Kris Russell costs $4.167M during a four-year stretch, and even now, he has plenty of critics. Those complaints may only get louder if, at 30, he also starts to slip from his already debatable spot.

Andrej Sekera‘s been a useful blueliner, yet there’s some concern that time won’t treat him kindly. He’s dealing with injuries heading into 2017-18, and at 31, there’s always the risk that his best days are behind him. Not great for a guy carrying a $5.5M cap hit through 2020-21.

One can’t help but wonder if Ryan Nugent-Hopkins might be an odd man out once the shackles of the salary cap really tighten. Just consider how much Edmonton is spending on a limited number of players, and you wonder if the 24-year-old will be deemed too pricey at his $6M clip.

Yeah, not ideal.

It’s not all bad

Now, let’s be fair.

RNH could easily grow into being well worth that $6M. Draisaitl may also justify his hefty price tag. McDavid honestly cut the Oilers a relative deal by taking $12.5M instead of the maximum.

The Oilers also have two quality, 24-year-old defensemen locked up to team-friendly deals: Oscar Klefbom ($4.167M through 2022-23) and Adam Larsson ($4.167M through 2020-21). They need every bargain they can get, and those two figure to fit the bill.

Crucial future negotiations

GM Peter Chiarelli’s had a questionable history of getting good deals. He’ll need to get together soon, or the Oilers will really struggle to surround their core with helpful support.

Cam Talbot is a brilliant bargain at the strangely familiar cap hit of $4.167M, but that value only lasts through 2018-19. After that, he’s eligible to become a UFA, and could be massively expensive if he produces two more strong seasons.

The bright side is that the Oilers aren’t locked into an expensive goalie, so they can look for deals. That isn’t as sunny a situation if you don’t trust management to have much success in the bargain bin.

Talbot isn’t the only upcoming expiring contract. The Oilers have serious questions to answer with Darnell Nurse and Ryan Strome. Also, will they need to let Lucic-like winger Patrick Maroon go? Even with mild relief in Mark Fayne‘s money coming off the books, the Oilers might regret this buffet when the bills start piling up next summer.

***

Look, the truth is that management is likely to be propped up by the top-end in Edmonton, particularly in the case of McDavid’s otherworldly skills. As much as that Draisaitl deal looks like an overpay – possibly a massive one – there’s a chance that he lives up to that $8.5M, too.

It’s not just about those stars, though.

The Pittsburgh Penguins gained new life by complimenting Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin with the likes of Phil Kessel. The Blackhawks have struggled once they couldn’t afford as much help for Kane and Toews.

You have to mix your premium items with bargains, and one wonders if the Oilers will be able to spot sufficient value beyond the no-brainer top guys. Their recent history in that area certainly leaves a lot to be desired.