Around the rink – Tuesday, January 25th

1 Comment

With the All-Star break approaching and the schedule lightening up a bit before then, teams are sort of playing out the string. Think of it like that last week of school before the break for the holidays in December. You should be taking some tests and still studying but you see vacation on the horizon and can’t help but think about that. All right so maybe it’s not exactly like that but we’re trying to keep it real around here. Here’s tonight’s schedule with all times being Eastern.

7:00 p.m.

Florida @ NY Rangers

The Rangers might want to avoid the shootout tonight but as long as Mats Zuccarello is around they’ll feel better about their chances if the game goes that far. Zuccarello is 4-4 on shootout attempts this year and given that their last two games have reached the skills competition and they’ve won them, they’re doing OK. Florida is looking to snap a four-game losing streak. The streaky Panthers are in the second game of a six-game road trip. Overtime and shootouts haven’t been kind to Florida recently though losing three of the last four games that have gone that far.

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh

No Sidney Crosby in this one for the Penguins but that hasn’t mattered much lately as the Pens are winners of four of their last five games. Evgeni Malkin is also unlikely to play as well meaning that Jordan Staal will have to again take the reins as the top centerman and player up front. The Islanders have lost three of their last four games but are showing signs of improvement in that they’re at least scoring goals. It helps having Kyle Okposo and Frans Nielsen back in the lineup that’s for sure. Pittsburgh is looking to keep pace with Philadelphia in the division as they’ve fallen behind by five points.

Anaheim @ Columbus

The Ducks are looking to wrap up their four game road trip with their third win. Their two wins have come in the shootout but when you’re playing away from home a win is a win. The Ducks have been riding the great play of Jonas Hiller and Bobby Ryan to success and frankly they’re OK with that. Columbus, meanwhile, is on a two-game win streak of their own and protecting home ice against the Ducks would give them a lot of confidence. Getting solid consistent goaltending of late has helped Columbus get their act together as they’ve allowed two goals in each of their wins.

7:30 p.m.

Montreal @ Philadelphia

While the Flyers want to keep ahead of the Penguins and extend their lead in the Eastern Conference, the Habs can tie things up with Boston again in the Northeast Division with a win. Montreal’s skating wounded did well enough to get a big win two games ago over Ottawa but couldn’t get a shootout win against Anaheim on Saturday. The beat up Habs could be in a tough spot against the physical Flyers who haven’t exactly played nice with each other so far this season.

Buffalo @ Ottawa

This always used to be a great rivalry as these two teams hated each other something fierce. Now, the Sens are floundering and the Sabres are still searching for consistency before they fall too far back in the hunt for the playoffs in the East. While the Sens are busy with nostalgia, the Sabres can get back on track with a small win streak with a win here. They’ve won three of their last four as it is but a loss to Ottawa would be a real morale killer.

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Toronto’s southern swing isn’t going so hot with a loss to Carolina last night. Dealing with the Southeast Division leading Lightning on the second night of a back-to-back sounds less-than optimal, especially with the chance of going up against Dwayne Roloson who has owned the Leafs of late in his career. Roloson is 4-1-0 in his last five starts against the Leafs dating back to 2008-2009 and that includes a 29-save effort to win in overtime earlier this year.

8:30 p.m.

Minnesota @ Chicago

The Wild roll into town as a team of streaks but playing better of late winners of three out of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a poor performance against the Flyers on Sunday afternoon and looking to regain some composure in the Western Conference playoff race. If you didn’t look too closely, you’d see that the Wild are just three points behind Chicago in the West standings. While Chicago’s doing relatively well the Wild have rebounded well after a poor start to vault themselves into the race for the playoffs. Consider this a good test for both teams to see where they’re at.

9:00 p.m.

Edmonton @ Phoenix

After Dallas getting humbled last night, the door is open for Phoenix to make up some ground on the Pacific Division leaders. Having to deal with an Oilers team that has been just brutal lately. Phoenix has lost three of their last four but a win would pull them to within four points of the Stars. Every little bit does count and for the Coyotes that can be a big deal to make the end of the season potentially less stressful. Edmonton’s losing ways have resulted in a five-game losing streak and a stretch of games over the last month and a half that’s just brutal. The Oilers weren’t really a factor for the playoffs as it was, but seeing them doing this poorly is disheartening for a team that showed flashes of brilliant fun early on. Here’s to hoping Taylor Hall doesn’t get too frustrated being counted on to do too much for a bad team.

Cullen explains why he chose Wild over Penguins

Getty
Leave a comment

If you check out a bio on Matt Cullen, you’ll notice that he’s from Minnesota. It doesn’t take a leak, then, to explain why Cullen signed a one-year deal with the Minnesota Wild on Wednesday.

As Cullen explained to Michael Russo of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, “this is a family decision.” As he goes deeper into his logic, even especially sore Pittsburgh Penguins fans should probably understand Cullen’s perspective.

“Minnesota is home and it’s a special place for me,” Cullen said. “It’s not easy to say goodbye and it’s not easy to walk away [from Pittsburgh]. I’m confident in the decision we’re making and it’s the right thing for our family. But at the same time, it’s not an easy one.

Now, to be fair, Cullen also told Russo that he believes the Wild are a “hungry” team that might have been the West’s best in 2016-17. It’s not like he’s roughing it, and surely the $1 million (and $700K in performance bonuses that Wild GM Chuck Fletcher hopes Cullen collects) didn’t hurt, either.

Still, such a decision makes extra sense for a 40-year-old who’s played for eight different NHL teams during his impressive career. Russo’s story about Cullen attending his kids games and seeing his brothers is worth a read just for those warm and fuzzy feelings we often forget about in crunching the numbers and pondering which teams might be big-time contenders in 2017-18.

This isn’t to say that getting a fourth Stanley Cup ring wouldn’t be appealing to Cullen, but perhaps he’ll get his family time and win big, too?

There’s also the familiarity that comes with playing three fairly recent seasons with the Wild, so Cullen’s choice seems like it checks a lot of the boxes.

In other positive Wild news, Russo reports that Eric Staal is feeling 100 percent after suffering a concussion during the playoffs.

Tuesday was Wild day at PHT, but perhaps this feels more like Wild week?

Bovada gives McDavid higher odds than Crosby to win Hart in 2017-18

Getty
2 Comments

In handing Connor McDavid an eight-year, $100 million extension, the Edmonton Oilers essentially are paying the 20-year-old star based on the assumption that he’ll provide MVP-quality play.

At least one Vegas oddsmaker agrees, as Bovada tabbed McDavid as the favorite to win the Hart Trophy, edging Sidney Crosby.

That’s interesting, yet it might be even more interesting to note where other players fall in the rankings. Auston Matthews coming in third is particularly intriguing.

Who are some of the more interesting choices? The 20/1 range seems appealing, as Carey Price is one of the few goalies with the notoriety to push for such honors while John Tavares has the skill and financial motivation to produce the best work of his career next season.

Anyway, entertain yourself with those odds, via Bovada: (Quick note: Bovada originally had Artemi Panarin listed as still playing with Chicago. PHT went ahead and fixed that in the bit below.)

2017 – 2018 – Who will win the Hart Memorial Trophy as the NHL’s Most Valuable Player?
Connor McDavid (EDM)                         3/2
Sidney Crosby (PIT)                              5/2
Auston Matthews (TOR)                         17/2
Alex Ovechkin (WAS)                            9/1
Patrick Kane (CHI)                                 14/1
Vladimir Tarasenko (STL)                       15/1
Evgeni Malkin (PIT)                                16/1
Carey Price (MON)                                 20/1
John Tavares (NYI)                                20/1
Jamie Benn (DAL)                                 25/1
Steven Stamkos (TB)                             25/1
Erik Karlsson (OTT)                               33/1
Nikita Kucherov (TB)                              33/1
Jack Eichel (BUF)                                  50/1
Ryan Getzlaf (ANA)                               50/1
Patrik Laine (WPG)                                50/1
Brad Marchand (BOS)                            50/1
Tyler Seguin (DAL)                                50/1
Nicklas Backstrom (WAS)                      60/1
Brent Burns (SJ)                                    60/1
Braden Holtby (WAS)                            60/1
Phil Kessel (PIT)                                    60/1
Artemi Panarin (CBJ)                              60/1
Joe Pavelski (SJ)                                  60/1

Oilers cap situation is scary, and not just because of Draisaitl, McDavid

Getty
3 Comments

The Edmonton Oilers pulled the trigger – and likely made teams with big RFA headaches like the Boston Bruins grimace – in signing Leon Draisaitl to a massive eight-year, $68 million contract on Wednesday.

You have to do a little stretching to call it a good deal, although credit Puck Daddy’s Greg Wyshysnki with some reasonably stated optimism.

Either way, the per-year cap bill for Connor McDavid and Draisaitl is $21 million once McDavid’s extension kicks in starting in 2018-19; that’s the same combined cost that Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane receive … and those two got those paydays after they won three Stanley Cups for the Chicago Blackhawks.

Now, if the Oilers struggle in the near future, plenty of people will heap blame on McDavid and/or Draisaitl. Really, though, the true scapegoats should be a management team with more strikeouts than homers.

(As usual, Cap Friendly was a key resource in studying Edmonton’s salary structure.)

Bloated supporting cast

There are some frightening contracts on the books in Edmonton, especially if a few situations work out unfavorably.

At 29, there’s severe risk of regression with Milan Lucic, even if he enjoys a more stable second season with Edmonton. He carries a $6M cap hit through 2022-23, so he’ll be on the books for all but two years of Draisaitl’s new deal.

Kris Russell costs $4.167M during a four-year stretch, and even now, he has plenty of critics. Those complaints may only get louder if, at 30, he also starts to slip from his already debatable spot.

Andrej Sekera‘s been a useful blueliner, yet there’s some concern that time won’t treat him kindly. He’s dealing with injuries heading into 2017-18, and at 31, there’s always the risk that his best days are behind him. Not great for a guy carrying a $5.5M cap hit through 2020-21.

One can’t help but wonder if Ryan Nugent-Hopkins might be an odd man out once the shackles of the salary cap really tighten. Just consider how much Edmonton is spending on a limited number of players, and you wonder if the 24-year-old will be deemed too pricey at his $6M clip.

Yeah, not ideal.

It’s not all bad

Now, let’s be fair.

RNH could easily grow into being well worth that $6M. Draisaitl may also justify his hefty price tag. McDavid honestly cut the Oilers a relative deal by taking $12.5M instead of the maximum.

The Oilers also have two quality, 24-year-old defensemen locked up to team-friendly deals: Oscar Klefbom ($4.167M through 2022-23) and Adam Larsson ($4.167M through 2020-21). They need every bargain they can get, and those two figure to fit the bill.

Crucial future negotiations

GM Peter Chiarelli’s had a questionable history of getting good deals. He’ll need to get together soon, or the Oilers will really struggle to surround their core with helpful support.

Cam Talbot is a brilliant bargain at the strangely familiar cap hit of $4.167M, but that value only lasts through 2018-19. After that, he’s eligible to become a UFA, and could be massively expensive if he produces two more strong seasons.

The bright side is that the Oilers aren’t locked into an expensive goalie, so they can look for deals. That isn’t as sunny a situation if you don’t trust management to have much success in the bargain bin.

Talbot isn’t the only upcoming expiring contract. The Oilers have serious questions to answer with Darnell Nurse and Ryan Strome. Also, will they need to let Lucic-like winger Patrick Maroon go? Even with mild relief in Mark Fayne‘s money coming off the books, the Oilers might regret this buffet when the bills start piling up next summer.

***

Look, the truth is that management is likely to be propped up by the top-end in Edmonton, particularly in the case of McDavid’s otherworldly skills. As much as that Draisaitl deal looks like an overpay – possibly a massive one – there’s a chance that he lives up to that $8.5M, too.

It’s not just about those stars, though.

The Pittsburgh Penguins gained new life by complimenting Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin with the likes of Phil Kessel. The Blackhawks have struggled once they couldn’t afford as much help for Kane and Toews.

You have to mix your premium items with bargains, and one wonders if the Oilers will be able to spot sufficient value beyond the no-brainer top guys. Their recent history in that area certainly leaves a lot to be desired.

Cullen signs with Wild, opting against retirement (and Penguins)

Getty
7 Comments

Matt Cullen is going home, but that doesn’t mean that he’s retiring from hockey.

Instead, the Minnesota native decided to sign a one-year, $1 million deal with the Minnesota Wild. It’s unclear why, precisely, Cullen didn’t ink a deal to try to “threepeat” with the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The Wild note that his deal also includes $700K in potential performance bonuses.

This will be the 40-year-old’s second run with the Wild. His first run came from 2010-11 through 2012-13, where he appeared in 193 regular-season games and five postseason contests for Minnesota.

Cullen managed back-to-back 30+ point seasons with the Penguins while providing useful all-around play as a veteran center. If he can maintain a reasonably high level of play, this gives the Wild quite the solid group down the middle, even with Martin Hanzal gone.