Fantasy Hockey talk: Suggested stat categories for your league(s)

martybrodeurandilyafantasysports.jpgFor the last couple weeks, I’ve been pumping out some fantasy hockey cheat sheets of the league’s less common stat categories. I’ll begin covering some of the more “meat and potatoes” stuff soon (and put them all in one easy post in the near future as well), but I thought I’d throw out my two cents on which categories you should use – and which ones aren’t worth inclusion.

There might be some obscure fantasy hockey leagues that cover categories I won’t consider one way or another (is there a league with Corsi ratings yet?), but these should be the most common options provided by the bigger fantasy sports providers.

No-brainers

I don’t think I’m pulling rank when I say that every league will (or should) include: goals (G), assists (A), goalie wins (W), save percentage (SV%) and goals against average (GAA).

Near-essentials

Points – I’m adamant that points are a great stat category to accompany goals and assists. Let’s make it most simple though: why would you want a lesser stat (like, say, penalty minutes) to matter just as much as a goal or an assist? By making a supposedly redundant points category, you ensure that the biggest hockey impact plays make the biggest impact in fantasy, too.

Powerplay points – I actually think some variation on powerplay points (PPP) is a no-brainer, but I wanted to isolate them because I think PPP are better than powerplay goals (PPG). While there are plenty of second assists that mean very little on a PP goal, there are some great passes that make scoring a goal a relatively simple task. So why not account for any contribution to the man advantage?

bertuzzihitsluongo.jpgShots on Goal – Shots on goal can cause havoc beyond a tally as rebounds can lead to other opportunities, including penalties being taken in desperation. I’m a fan of this stat.

Controversial, yet classic

Plus/minus – This stat isn’t controversial to most casual fans, but it surely is among nerds such as myself in the hockey community. A player’s plus/minus (+/-) has just as much to do with the teammates around him as it does anyone’s defensive acumen. That being said, it’s such a simple stat that I think it remains worthy of its place as a fantasy hockey staple. For now, at least.

Penalty minutes – It’s weird to “reward” a mistake, but penalty minutes (PIM) also distinguish gritty play and tougher players. Plus there’s something delightfully messed up about giggling as Todd Bertuzzi takes another boneheaded penalty.

Stinkers

Shooting percentage – Quite frankly, this is a really dumb stat for fantasy purposes. If an opponents’ defenseman scores on one lucky shot while Alex Ovechkin takes 10 shots to score two goal, your team is at a disadvantage with shooting percentage. That’s an oversimplification, but it’s a dumb stat I say.

Time on ice – It’s boring. Really, really boring.

Goalie shutouts – They happen so rarely and does it really matter if a goalie wins 5-0 instead of 5-1? I’m not saying every “SO” is worthless, but I wish this stat wasn’t so prevalent in fantasy hockey.

New additions

Hits – I’m a fan of including this newly added (at least in Yahoo!) stat since forwards and defensemen both pile them up. Really, I could even accept it replacing PIM if you’re feeling bold.

Blocked shots – Eh, blocked shots are interesting but they’re so defenseman-exclusive that I’d rather pass on that one.

faceoffwins.jpgDebatable categories

Faceoff Wins – It’s not a great category, but I’ve always liked them for some reason. I guess it’s just a matter of personal taste.

Goalie saves – I like saves in some way because they give a boost to beleaguered goalies who face a ton of shots and rarely win. Still, you only want so many “quantity over quality” stats in fantasy hockey, so this one’s a toss-up.

Finding the proper goalie-skater stat ratio

Some leagues overvalue goalies in a simple way. I was in one league (and it might continue that way) in which there were four categories for skaters and four for goalies. In other words, the 2-4 goalies you’d have are just as important as the 12-16 skaters you’d normally draft. That’s out of whack, even if goalies really have a bigger impact than most (if not all) individual skaters.

Suggested stat categories (Goalie categories in bold)

All around: G, A, P, PPP, +/-, PIM, SOG, Hits, W, GAA, SV% and saves. 12 categories

Finesse: G, A, P, PPP, +/-, FW, SOG, W, GAA and SV%. 10 categories

Rugged: G, A, P, +/-, SOG, Hits, PIM, blocked shots, W, GAA, SV% and saves. 12 categories

Meat and potatoes: G,A,P,+/-,PIM,W,GAAand SV%. 8 categories. (You could also exchange a goalie category for PPP)

OK, so those are my recommendations. Obviously these suggestions are totally subjective, but believe me, if you lose a fantasy league after assembling a super talented team because of shooting percentage or a garbage game shutout … well, I won’t say I “told you so.”

(But my knowing grin might say enough.)

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    WATCH LIVE: Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators – Game 6

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    Will we see a Game 7 in the Western Conference Final or will the Nashville Predators stamp their ticket to the franchise’s first-ever Stanley Cup Final?

    We’ll find out soon enough on Monday, as the Predators host the Anaheim Ducks in Game 6.

    Ryan Getzlaf and the Ducks will get their chance to beat the Ryan Johansen-less Predators once again on NBCSN. You can watch online and via the NBC Sports App.

    Here’s what you need to know:

    Anaheim Ducks vs. Nashville Predators (Preds lead 3-2)

    Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

    Network: NBCSN (Stream live here)

    Check out the highlights from Nashville’s 3-1 win in Game 5

    Related:

    Ducks will be without Eaves and Rakell in Game 6

    Pontus Aberg ‘face planted’ before scoring game-winning goal in Game 6

    Report: Sharks sign Czech d-man Simek

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    San Jose’s had good success scouting European leagues in recent years, and the club is hopeful that trend continued on Monday.

    The Sharks have signed d-man Radim Simek out of the Czech League, per NBC Sports California. It’s a one-year, two-way pact for the 24-year-old, who just finished representing his native Czech Republic at the World Hockey Championship.

    Simek had two points in eight games for the Czechs.

    According to a report out of Radio Praha, the Sharks beat out the Rangers to acquire Simek. Passed over in his draft year, Simek has spent his entire pro career with Liberec Bili Tygri.

    As mentioned above, Sharks GM Doug Wilson has done well finding European skaters in their early-to-mid-20s, ones that contribute right away at the NHL level: Melker Karlsson, Joonas Donskoi and Marcus Sorensen, most specifically.

    Smith could re-up with Rangers, agent expects Gorton meeting soon

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    Earlier this month, we wrote about how pending UFA d-man Brendan Smith impressed his Rangers teammates with his strong postseason play.

    It was clear the Rangers wanted to keep Smith, a trade deadline pickup, in the fold. And now it sounds like the interest is mutual.

    “He’s more than open to coming back,” agent Anton Thun told the New York Post. ““I’m sure I’ll be speaking to Jeff [Gorton, Rangers GM] in the next week or so and we’ll see if we can work something out.”

    Smith, 28, just wrapped a two-year, $5.5 million deal with a $2.75M average annual cap hit. His stock certainly rose following the move from Detroit to New York, thanks in large part to a playoff in which he had four points through 12 games, and averaged just under 20 minutes per night.

    Add it all up, and a raise is in the cards.

    Helping Smith’s cause is a relatively weak crop of free-agent defensemen this summer. Kevin Shattenkirk will be the top dog, while the second tier includes under-30s like Smith, Karl Alzner and Michael Stone.

    The Post estimated a $4M AAV could be on the horizon for Smith, which makes sense. Thun didn’t talk specific numbers, but did suggest the Rangers weren’t going to get any sort of discount.

    “To pass up free agency,” he explained, “Brendan’s going to need a contract that reflects market value.”

     

     

    Penguins redefining defense by committee

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    When the Pittsburgh Penguins lost defenseman Kris Letang for the entire postseason it was thought be a crushing blow to their chances to repeat as Stanley Cup champions. Especially with a path that was likely to include two of the NHL’s best teams in the first two rounds of the playoffs.

    Not only is Letang one of the best defensemen in the world, he is one of the most important cogs in the Penguins’ machine. During last year’s Stanley Cup run he played close to 29 minutes per game and did so at an incredibly high level. Losing that sort of workhorse is nearly impossible to replace.

    But even with Letang’s absence (and even additional injuries to defensemen Trevor Daley and Justin Schultz) the Penguins find themselves one win away from returning to the Stanley Cup Final without really having a true No. 1 defenseman to turn to.

    This is almost unheard of in today’s NHL.

    Every team that goes on a deep run in the playoffs has a minute-eating defenseman that can be counted on to play a significant portion of the game. Letang. Drew Doughty. Duncan Keith. Erik Karlsson. Zdeno Chara. Players like that.

    When it comes to the playoffs, teams tend to roll with their top-four defensemen the most and do their best to hide or shelter their third pairing by limiting their minutes as much as they can. The Penguins have not had that luxury without Letang.

    That means everybody has had to step up and take on an expanded role. Just about everybody is playing more than they are used to while there is virtually no difference between each role.

    First, consider that every team (22 of them) that has reached the Stanley Cup Final since the 2005-06 season has had at least one defensemen average more than 22 minutes of ice-time per game. Twenty-one of those 22 teams have had at least two players log more than 22 minutes, while 18 of them have had at least one player average more than 25 minutes of ice-time per game.

    The 2016-17 Penguins currently have none.

    Brian Dumoulin is currently their ice-time leader, playing just over 21 minutes per game.

    Let’s take a look at what that looks like from a usage perspective.

    The table here looks at this year’s Penguins, the remaining final four teams this season, and every Stanley Cup Finalist dating back to 2011-12 and what percentage of a 60-minute game each of their top-six defensemen played on an average night. This year’s Penguins should stick out as a massive outlier.

     

    Other than the 2014-15 Lightning and 2011-12 Devils every other team on here had a No. 1 defenseman that was on the ice for more than 40 percent of the game on a given night. And the Lightning and Devils were very close to it.

    All of them had a No. 2 defenseman that played more than 36 percent of the game on a given night.

    Again, the Penguins currently have nobody taking on that sort of a workload in either spot.

    Every team on there was able to limit their playing time of their third pairing (some more than others) while there was a significant gap between the ice-time for their No. 1 and No. 6 defenseman.

    For Pittsburgh, their third pairing plays almost as much as their second pairing, while there is minimal difference between the workload for their top pairing and their third pairing. Last year, as an example, Letang averaged more than 13 additional minutes per game than their No. 6 defenseman.

    This year Dumoulin is only averaging three more minutes than their No. 6.

    It really is a defense by committee approach and it has been kind of fascinating to watch.

    They are clearly lacking the elite puck-moving presence that a player like Letang can provide, and at times their ability to smoothly and efficiently exit the defensive zone has been a struggle.

    It is also a situation where a lot of players are being thrust into roles they are not used to playing.  This has at times led to extended zone time for their opponents and put them in a situation where they are giving up way more shots per game than they want. They are also fortunate to have two outstanding goalies in Matt Murray and Marc-Andre Fleury that have been fantastic this postseason to keep pucks out of the net. But overall it is a unit that has seemingly taken on a whatever it takes approach to get the job done.

    It runs counter to everything we have seen from contending teams in recent years when it comes to the makeup of a defense, but they have somehow found a way to make this patchwork unit work. Now here they are, just one win away from getting back to the Stanley Cup Final.