2010 Stanley Cup Finals: Will anyone pick the Flyers to win?

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Leighton.jpgWhen writing the postgame story for the Chicago Blackhawks’ series
win over the San Jose Sharks, I finished the post with this statement:

You
wonder if the Eastern Conference team will even stand a chance.

Now,
obviously that was a bit hyperbolic, and even though the series wasn’t
over yet there was a good chance the Blackhawks would be facing the
Flyers in the Cup finals.

Do I really think the Flyers don’t stand
a chance? Not at all. Yet I do believe that this will be a test that is
much, much harder for the Flyers than they’ve had all postseason long.
No matter what the Flyers have accomplished, the Chicago Blackhawks are
completely different than and a much better team than the Montreal
Canadiens, Boston Bruins and New Jersey Devils

Conversely, the
Blackhawks have dispatched the the Vancouver Canucks and the San Jose
Sharks in ten games combined between the two series.

So you can
understand why the Flyers might be considered underdogs headed into the
finals.

Now, all of the Cup finals predictions haven’t come in
from the media horde (ours will be up tomorrow) but I doubt there will
be many predicting a Flyers win. After all, the Blackhawks are more
talented, have a deeper roster, have a better overall blueline and
despite Leighton’s great series against Montreal, Antti Niemi has been
the better goaltender. They’ve been gearing up for this moment all
season long, playing at an exceptionally high level from the very start
— goaltending issues aside — and have actually found a way to play
even better in the playoffs.

For the Flyers, it’s been a season
of extreme highs and lows, and they made the postseason relying upon a
shootout victory in the final game of the season. Since then, it’s been a
story of destiny and overcoming adversity, including a historic series
win over the Boston Bruins.

But do they have what it takes to beat
the Blackhawks, a team that is seemingly better in every category?

Many
who do the picking and the predictions will see the stats and the
matchups and say that the Flyers have no chance. After all, there’s no
way to measure intangibles, a willingness to win and an overall refusal
to lose when their backs are against the wall.

Odds in Vegas are
considerably in favor of the Blackhawks, and if you decide to bet on the
Blackhawks straight up, you’ll only receive about $60 in return for a
$100 bet.

Everyone is against the Flyers, a place where they’ve
been before. They didn’t have a chance against New Jersey, there was no
way they could come back against Boston and there’s no way they would
dispatch the Canadiens so easily. Yet they did, and inexplicably are
here in the Cup finals.

There will invariably be some that pick
the Flyers, but overall it’s a good bet to say they are considerable
underdogs. I’m guessing the Flyers are perfectly fine with that, and
believe this is exactly where they’d want to be.

Stepan: ‘I’ve stunk since the playoffs started’

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Derek Stepan knows he’s not playing very well, and he knows he’ll have to be better if the New York Rangers are going to make it past the Ottawa Senators.

With just one goal (an empty-netter) and one assist in seven playoff games, Stepan’s offensive production has fallen off a cliff after a respectable 55-point regular season, which included 38 assists.

“I’ve stunk since the playoffs started,” Stepan said, per NHL.com’s Dan Rosen. “I’ve been not very good with the puck.”

An all-situations center, Stepan is more than just an offensive type. But he’s produced in previous playoff runs, and the Rangers need him to produce now — especially against a tight-checking Sens team that boasts a 2.00 goals-against average in these playoffs.

Stepan has 45 points (18G, 27A) in 92 career playoff games.

To be fair, he’s not the only Ranger who needs to get going offensively. One of the Blueshirts’ big strengths during the regular season was their balanced scoring, with all four lines contributing — and that’s not happening right now.

No Bieksa for Anaheim tonight, but Vatanen could return

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The Ducks will be without their most veteran skater on Friday as they look to even up their series with Edmonton.

Kevin Bieksa, who exited Game 1 with a lower-body injury following a collision with fellow d-man Shea Theodore, has been ruled out for tonight’s Game 2. It marks the first tilt the 35-year-old will miss this postseason.

Bieksa was enjoying a pretty good playoff prior to getting hurt. He racked up four assists in five games, while averaging just under 17 minutes per night. Ducks head coach Randy Carlyle is holding out hope Bieksa could return later in the series.

While this is a loss for the Ducks, it goes a long way in illustrating how much defensive depth they have.

While Carlyle wouldn’t confirm, all signs point to Sami Vatanen drawing in for Bieksa. Vatanen has been out since Game 1 of the Calgary series with an upper-body injury, but has resumed practicing and sounds like he’s ready to go.

“It’s always nice when a player is closer to coming back and you can potentially put them back in the lineup,” Carlyle said of Vatanen.

Anaheim dressed a blueline of Bieksa, Theodore, Cam Fowler, Josh Manson, Hampus Lindholm and Brandon Montour in Wednesday’s 5-3 defeat. If Vatanen can’t draw in for Bieksa, the club still has Korbinian Holzer in reserve.

 

 

Ducks say they’ve allowed Draisaitl too much freedom, too much fun

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Given the nicknames bestowed on Leon Drasaitl recently — the German Gretzky, Certified Duck Killer — it’s safe to assume the big Oilers forward is having a pretty good time.

That’s something Anaheim wants to put to an end, starting tonight.

“He’s a power forward and we’re allowing him too much freedom. He’s having too much fun,” Ducks head coach Randy Carlyle told the Journal, after Drasaitl went off for four points in Wednesday’s series-opening win.  “I don’t know how I can put it any simpler.”

The 21-year-old has made a habit of tormenting Anaheim this season. He has goals in five of seven career games at the Honda Center and, in his last 11 tilts versus the Ducks, has racked up an whopping 17 points.

Coming into this second round series, most of the focus was on how Carlyle and company would shut down Connor McDavid.

But now it appears they have another matchup issue on their hands.

Carlyle’s most logical choice is to put out the Ryan Kesler line against McDavid, given Kesler’s stout defensive play and ability to shut down opposing centers. But in terms of straight matching, that puts plenty of responsibility on Kesler’s wingers — especially Andrew Cogliano — to deal with Draisaitl. He has good size (6-foot-1, 216 pounds) and has been bolstered by McDavid’s playmaking ability.

As such, there’s a fascinating game-within-a-game to watch this evening. Carlyle has the benefit of last change. The forward matchups will be worth monitoring, but so will the defense — veteran blueliner Kevin Bieksa is doubtful after exiting Game 1 with a lower-body injury, but Sami Vatanen could return after sitting out since Game 1 of the Calgary series.

 

 

Canucks could really use Patrick or Hischier

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The Vancouver Canucks are hoping for better luck in tomorrow’s draft lottery. If they receive it, they may get a player who can step right into their lineup, and stay there for years to come.

The top two picks in the 2017 draft are expected to be centers Nolan Patrick and Nico Hischier.

It remains to be seen who will go first overall. Patrick was the consensus pick for a while, but Hischier started to gain ground with an impressive showing for Switzerland at the World Juniors.

“I think the top two players in this draft have the potential to maybe step in and play next year and be productive players at the NHL level,” said Canucks GM Jim Benning. “But I think the next three players, whether you’re looking at a play-making center, or potentially a power-play defenseman, there’s good choices there too.”

Gabe Vilardi, Casey Mittelstadt, and Cody Glass are centers the Canucks could select if they fall out of the top two. Cale Makar, Miro Heiskanen, and Timothy Liljegren are options on defense.

But getting Patrick or Hischier would be a huge win for a team that will soon have to replace Henrik Sedin, who turns 37 in September.

Benning says Patrick offers a combination of size (6-3, 198), skill and hockey sense, with “no real weakness in his game.”

As for Hischier, it’s his speed that really stands out.

“He’s built for today’s game,” said Benning. “His speed going through the neutral zone is fun to watch.”

The Canucks have the second-best odds to win the draft lottery. The furthest they can fall is to fifth.

Last year, Vancouver fell two spots from third to fifth, with Winnipeg and Columbus moving up. The Canucks drafted Finnish defenseman Olli Juolevi with their selection.

Draft lottery odds

Colorado Avalanche 18.0%
Vancouver Canucks 12.1%
Vegas Golden Knights* 10.3%
Arizona Coyotes 10.3%
New Jersey Devils 8.5%
Buffalo Sabres 7.6%
Detroit Red Wings 6.7%
Dallas Stars 5.8%
Florida Panthers 5.4%
Los Angeles Kings 4.5%
Carolina Hurricanes 3.2%
Winnipeg Jets 2.7%
Philadelphia Flyers 2.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.8%